NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	105		Excitement	8.7 [155]		MVP	Henry James (ATL): +57.6%
Atlanta Hawks	117		Comeback	10.7 [113]		LVP	Calbert Cheaney (WAS): -17.2%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.07	-0.05	18	51%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	22	48%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.02	20	55%	0.12	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.05
Gheorghe Muresan	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.03	0.02	12	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.01	12	50%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58	0.58	0.25	0.33	-0.00	12	100%	0.60	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.12,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	19	59%	0.19	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	10	65%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	70%	0.05	3	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Ivano Newbill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.02	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.27,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.05	0.04	21	43%	-0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.7	2.6	23.2	15.7	20.4	2.3	32.8	1.7	13.5	134.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +52.0%

ATL +15.1%

WAS -8.8%

WAS -7.5%

WAS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	17.5	15.6	109.4	121.9	104.4
season	14.8	16.4		104.3	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.8		100.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.1	15.2	15.6	17.4	16.4	15.6
ATL	15.9	18.2	17.8	20.5	13.3	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	67	63	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-14	16	16.7	13.0	3.67	19.2	14.4	4.78
Jaren Jackson	19	21	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-15	18	10.6	16.8	-6.25	18.5	17.3	1.27
Chris Whitney	18	18	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	-11	10	14.8	15.8	-1.00	21.7	16.6	5.16
Tracy Murray	19	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-11	10	13.0	16.2	-3.23	17.3	17.6	-0.33
Harvey Grant	34	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-8	4	14.1	16.4	-2.29	17.3	17.7	-0.38
Juwan Howard	89	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	-1	-10	15.6	15.1	0.49	17.0	23.5	-6.51
Rod Strickland	78	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	-1	-10	15.8	14.8	1.00	16.6	21.7	-5.16
Chris Webber	80	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	3	-18	16.1	12.9	3.19	17.1	19.6	-2.45
Calbert Cheaney	76	75	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.14	-22	10	-32	16.6	11.8	4.73	17.1	19.0	-1.94

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	73	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-2	16	16.8	19.7	-2.85	15.7	15.2	0.52
Tyrone Corbin	79	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	1	10	16.8	20.8	-3.93	16.0	13.9	2.03
Henry James	47	47	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	5	2	18.6	16.5	2.09	14.1	17.0	-2.91
Christian Laettner	66	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	1	10	17.6	17.4	0.24	16.0	14.5	1.54
Mookie Blaylock	87	86	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	4	4	17.5	17.4	0.10	15.8	13.7	2.11
Ivano Newbill	5	4	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	10	-8	21.2	17.3	3.87	17.0	15.5	1.47
Jon Barry	32	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	10	-8	19.1	16.8	2.30	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Dikembe Mutombo	82	80	-0.54	1.04	-1.57	-0.33	-7	19	-26	17.8	16.1	1.63	15.5	15.9	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.32,0.16,0.46,0.67,0.63,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.73,1	89.9%
UTA 119, SEA 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.11,0.1,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.84,1,1	89.5%
ATL 84, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	89.4%