NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Excitement	8.9 [179]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +53.3%
Chicago Bulls	117		Comeback	2.0 [514]		LVP	Jarrett Culver (MIN): -13.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.53	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.53,0.53,0.53	0.29	0.31	0.07	24	75%	0.57	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.02	0.17	-0.04	19	57%	0.39	5	-0.16	6	17%	-0.05
Keita Bates-Diop	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	4	31%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Shabazz Napier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.03	0.13	-0.01	0.09	6	100%	0.16	2	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Jordan McLaughlin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.09	-0.02	9	50%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	5	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.04	0.31	0.01	18	57%	0.43	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	6	86%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	14	62%	0.20	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.07	0.04	4	82%	0.15	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	6	56%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Luke Kornet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	10	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.06,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	44%	0.09	2	-0.09	3	33%	-0.06
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	29.8	14.8	27.5	2.3	36.3	137.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +17.3%

MIN -3.1%

CHI +20.5%

CHI +11.3%

CHI +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	13.7	14.2	108.9	114.7	109.6
season	13.8	14.1		107.1	105.3
opponent	14.4	13.8		108.2	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.9	14.5	13.5	15.9	14.7
CHI	13.3	14.3	13.7	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Culver	50	51	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-7	7	15.0	14.4	0.59	15.4	12.0	3.43
Gorgui Dieng	35	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	14.7	14.7	0.03	14.3	13.4	0.87
Andrew Wiggins	76	77	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-13	19	14.0	16.6	-2.52	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Jordan McLaughlin	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	0	-7	15.0	14.5	0.52	14.4	13.4	0.96
Robert Covington	66	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-10	13	14.4	15.1	-0.73	13.4	14.3	-0.87
Keita Bates-Diop	26	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	2	-11	16.8	13.9	2.84	15.3	13.2	2.14
Shabazz Napier	66	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-7	7	14.5	15.0	-0.52	13.4	14.4	-0.96
Josh Okogie	42	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	14.7	14.6	0.13	12.1	14.8	-2.62
Karl-Anthony Towns	66	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	0	-7	14.7	14.7	-0.03	13.4	14.3	-0.87
Allen Crabbe	43	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	8	-23	14.5	14.8	-0.35	13.0	14.2	-1.18

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	51	53	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.11	22	-15	37	13.6	13.8	-0.25	14.7	14.6	0.15
Kris Dunn	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	2	3	13.5	14.1	-0.56	14.8	14.3	0.51
Zach LaVine	70	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	6	-5	13.8	13.5	0.27	15.0	13.9	1.08
Chandler Hutchison	43	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	0	7	13.9	13.6	0.37	15.2	14.3	0.90
Lauri Markkanen	73	71	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.28	-2	9	-11	13.6	14.0	-0.40	14.8	14.4	0.33
Thaddeus Young	42	41	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	3	1	13.4	13.9	-0.57	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Ryan Arcidiacono	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	3	1	13.6	13.7	-0.10	13.9	15.0	-1.11
Cristiano Felicio	46	45	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	4	-1	14.2	13.3	0.95	15.9	13.7	2.25
Luke Kornet	37	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	4	-1	13.9	13.6	0.28	13.6	15.3	-1.78
Tomas Satoransky	49	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.34	-12	19	-31	13.7	13.8	-0.08	13.7	15.5	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.53,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.54,0.43,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.92,1	91.2%
ATL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.57,0.83,1	90.2%
LAL 108, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.92,1	90.2%