NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	8.0 [242]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +27.8%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.5 [849]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -26.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.28,0.17,0.16	0.01	0.13	-0.02	17	45%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.03	7	78%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Marvin Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.00	7	76%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.08
Zaza Pachulia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Acie Law	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Randolph Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.04	22	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26	-0.19	-0.10	-0.03	21	25%	-0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.10	0.01	11	92%	0.34	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.17	0.01	13	74%	0.33	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	17	58%	0.20	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.13
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	11	68%	0.20	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	10	35%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	28.0	15.5	32.2	2.5	34.5	140.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +73.7%

ATL -0.5%

ATL -3.8%

ATL -23.9%

PHX +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	15.8	15.5	110.9	113.8	106.4
season	15.8	14.1		106.7	112.1
opponent	15.5	16.1		109.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.7	14.6	14.1	14.2	15.1
PHX	14.2	17.3	16.5	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	52	55	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.33	18	-23	41	14.0	16.6	-2.64	16.0	15.5	0.50
Zaza Pachulia	57	59	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-5	5	15.7	14.2	1.55	16.9	13.9	3.01
Acie Law	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-6	7	13.4	15.4	-2.01	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Maurice Evans	18	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	4	-13	16.3	14.9	1.43	12.4	16.6	-4.19
Marvin Williams	74	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-11	17	15.0	15.8	-0.80	16.8	11.5	5.25
Solomon Jones	20	20	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	9	-23	15.3	15.1	0.22	12.4	16.7	-4.29
Randolph Morris	14	14	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-3	1	13.5	15.4	-1.92	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Josh Smith	63	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	1	-7	15.3	14.9	0.39	15.5	16.5	-1.02
Joe Johnson	79	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	15.3	14.2	1.05	16.0	14.9	1.15
Mike Bibby	72	74	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	9	-23	15.6	13.3	2.34	15.7	16.1	-0.41

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	50	48	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-2	9	14.6	17.2	-2.58	14.5	15.8	-1.32
Amar'e Stoudemire	69	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-3	11	15.6	16.5	-0.94	15.7	13.6	2.05
Grant Hill	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.18	10	-5	15	15.9	15.6	0.33	15.6	14.0	1.63
Steve Nash	69	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	16.2	14.8	1.46	15.1	15.2	-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	2	1	16.6	12.8	3.74	15.2	14.8	0.45
Matt Barnes	49	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	-2	9	14.6	17.2	-2.54	14.8	15.5	-0.74
Lou Amundson	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	15.1	16.2	-1.08	14.2	15.5	-1.37
Jared Dudley	8	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	8	-11	14.7	15.9	-1.18	12.6	15.3	-2.77
Jason Richardson	55	56	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.13	-11	16	-27	17.2	13.8	3.39	15.5	14.6	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.57,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.64,0.45,0.53,1	91.2%
BOS 92, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.69,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.98,1	90.9%
MIL 72, ORL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.57,0.84,1	90.6%