NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	7.0 [392]		MVP	J.R. Bremer (BOS): +16.8%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	1.1 [1026]		LVP	Shammond Williams (BOS): -14.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Bremer	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	13	79%	0.23	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,0.01,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	21	56%	0.16	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	22	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Walter McCarty	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	6	31%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	18	60%	0.19	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.06	0.03	15	65%	0.14	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.06
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	8	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.0	26.2	15.7	24.2	2.4	31.5	125.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +19.8%

HOU +29.3%

HOU +5.8%

HOU +1.1%

BOS -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.5	102.2	109.8	101.6
season	15.6	16.3		99.3	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.4	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.6	16.5	15.0	13.9	16.0
HOU	14.1	17.0	15.6	16.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	34	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-9	9	14.1	17.1	-3.00	14.4	16.4	-2.04
Eric Williams	53	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-3	-3	17.0	14.5	2.45	15.4	16.1	-0.74
Tony Battie	60	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-10	11	15.2	17.4	-2.22	16.0	15.1	0.85
Shammond Williams	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	17.3	15.4	1.96	15.5	15.8	-0.25
Vin Baker	30	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-1	-7	17.4	15.2	2.22	15.1	16.0	-0.85
J.R. Bremer	71	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-5	1	15.4	18.1	-2.72	16.2	13.7	2.53
Kedrick Brown	28	28	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	0	-9	17.2	15.4	1.83	15.9	15.6	0.28
Paul Pierce	71	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	0	-9	15.8	16.6	-0.86	15.4	16.8	-1.38
Antoine Walker	77	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	-4	-1	15.9	16.5	-0.68	16.2	12.7	3.52

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	81	80	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-6	21	15.4	17.9	-2.51	15.8	17.3	-1.51
Cuttino Mobley	87	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-5	19	15.5	19.0	-3.49	15.9	16.6	-0.68
James Posey	55	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	15.5	15.9	-0.42	14.8	17.8	-3.02
Yao Ming	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-2	13	15.3	16.5	-1.24	15.7	16.4	-0.67
Terence Morris	38	38	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	6	-3	16.3	15.3	0.97	15.1	16.6	-1.56
Eddie Griffin	54	52	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	3	3	15.3	16.3	-0.97	16.6	15.1	1.56
Kelvin Cato	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	11	-13	16.5	15.3	1.24	16.4	15.7	0.67
Juaquin Hawkins	37	35	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	9	-9	15.9	15.5	0.42	17.8	14.8	3.02
Moochie Norris	16	15	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	20	-31	18.2	15.2	3.09	17.1	15.7	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.69,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	92.7%
WAS 86, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	92.5%
UTA 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	92.1%