NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	7.7 [281]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (ATL): +28.9%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	1.6 [358]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -16.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.13	0.02	6	87%	0.27	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.25,0.16,0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.01	22	55%	0.22	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	13	62%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	55%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Juwan Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	10	25%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.08	0.21	0.00	10	64%	0.29	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	22	60%	0.24	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.02	10	57%	0.11	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	37%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.07
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.04	0.02	16	45%	-0.01	6	-0.16	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	29.2	18.5	25.3	1.8	39.2	143.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +36.4%

DAL -3.7%

ATL +31.2%

DAL -14.6%

ATL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.4	15.4	98.9	107.4	105.7
season	16.1	15.4		108.9	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.4		107.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.4	17.3	13.8	16.7	16.0
ATL	11.3	14.0	16.2	16.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	63	63	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.06	8	-15	23	16.4	15.3	1.07	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Juwan Howard	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-5	3	14.1	16.4	-2.24	14.2	14.5	-0.24
Jose Juan Barea	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-9	11	16.4	15.9	0.40	13.8	14.6	-0.76
Trenton Hassell	44	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-3	-1	14.8	17.0	-2.20	14.7	14.2	0.48
Devin Harris	31	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-3	-1	17.5	15.3	2.22	11.9	15.7	-3.79
Jerry Stackhouse	67	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-8	9	15.1	18.2	-3.11	14.8	13.6	1.25
Jason Terry	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	15.5	17.2	-1.74	15.4	12.4	2.99
Dirk Nowitzki	74	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-3	-1	16.4	14.6	1.86	14.8	13.2	1.62
Eddie Jones	46	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	7	-21	17.1	15.0	2.11	14.4	14.5	-0.03
Brandon Bass	54	52	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.30	-14	7	-21	16.4	15.5	0.98	14.0	15.0	-1.04

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	48	47	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-7	21	16.0	12.9	3.09	16.3	15.7	0.63
Marvin Williams	71	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.27	9	-2	11	14.5	14.4	0.02	16.4	14.7	1.74
Josh Smith	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	1	5	14.4	14.6	-0.22	15.7	17.2	-1.56
Joe Johnson	91	92	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	0	7	14.6	10.7	3.90	15.9	20.3	-4.45
Shelden Williams	55	55	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	3	1	16.2	12.0	4.14	16.7	15.0	1.68
Al Horford	46	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	3	1	12.7	16.1	-3.47	16.6	15.4	1.22
Mario West	2	3	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	5	-3	1.0	14.7	-13.74	9.3	16.2	-6.91
Anthony Johnson	16	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	14.0	14.5	-0.54	14.8	16.3	-1.46
Josh Childress	39	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	9	-11	14.1	14.7	-0.63	14.4	17.1	-2.69
Acie Law	29	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	13	-19	12.9	15.1	-2.24	16.9	15.6	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 78, SAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	93.0%
NYK 88, BKN 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.65,0.72,1	92.9%
LAL 103, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.84,1	92.5%