NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	8.3 [232]		MVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): +31.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	2.5 [726]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -25.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	16	72%	0.29	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	8	79%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	9	57%	0.01	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	13	23%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	8	0%	-0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.11,-0.1,-0.2,-0.25	-0.07	-0.19	-0.00	20	61%	0.15	6	-0.41	21	81%	0.11

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31	0.31	0.07	0.24	-0.00	12	67%	0.33	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	-0.00	7	87%	0.27	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.01	8	69%	0.00	0	0.00	10	80%	0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.09	2	0%	-0.06
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	5	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	11	71%	0.15	5	-0.24	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	31.0	14.8	25.8	1.7	32.3	133.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +50.0%

LAL -15.4%

POR +4.3%

POR +10.5%

POR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	15.5	107.3	111.6	104.0
season	15.7	15.8		105.8	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.4	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.4	12.9	16.8	14.2	15.4
POR	12.9	13.8	17.5	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	14	15	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-7	11	12.4	15.9	-3.47	14.1	14.9	-0.82
Slava Medvedenko	16	17	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	13.4	15.8	-2.43	14.3	14.9	-0.56
Kobe Bryant	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-8	13	16.0	13.7	2.32	15.3	13.2	2.13
Sasha Vujacic	78	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	4	-11	16.0	12.6	3.43	14.2	17.0	-2.80
Brian Grant	27	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	5	-13	16.4	15.0	1.46	13.1	15.4	-2.26
Chris Mihm	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-1	-1	15.8	14.7	1.13	15.4	13.8	1.61
Chucky Atkins	85	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-3	3	15.6	14.1	1.47	15.0	12.9	2.09
Jumaine Jones	74	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	15.8	14.0	1.75	14.8	14.5	0.37
Devean George	57	57	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.51	-5	2	-7	13.3	18.4	-5.08	14.8	14.7	0.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Viktor Khryapa	45	45	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-7	17	14.6	14.9	-0.34	14.2	16.5	-2.33
Ha Seung-Jin	47	48	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-7	17	14.9	14.6	0.27	14.6	16.2	-1.58
Travis Outlaw	55	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-9	21	14.1	15.7	-1.58	14.7	16.4	-1.71
Richie Frahm	44	45	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.36	6	-3	9	14.3	15.2	-0.90	13.8	16.8	-2.92
Sebastian Telfair	84	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	4	-5	15.1	11.9	3.22	15.1	17.4	-2.22
Ruben Patterson	57	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.39	-5	8	-13	15.4	13.9	1.48	15.8	14.8	0.96
Damon Stoudamire	49	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	6	-9	14.5	15.1	-0.60	17.1	13.6	3.57
Darius Miles	42	41	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	7	-11	14.4	15.0	-0.63	18.1	13.3	4.80
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	52	52	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	13	-23	15.2	14.2	1.00	15.5	15.3	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.92,1	92.5%
NYK 88, BKN 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.65,0.72,1	92.2%
NJN 78, SAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	92.1%