NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	120		Excitement	6.4 [542]		MVP	Derrick White (SAS): +36.5%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	1.8 [452]		LVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHX): -7.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.36,0.36	0.22	0.15	0.01	14	81%	0.36	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0.30	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.43,0.37,0.3	0.20	0.08	-0.02	13	86%	0.37	1	-0.07	2	0%	-0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	14	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.04	15	46%	0.06	5	-0.08	9	89%	0.04
Patty Mills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.03	0.03	14	69%	0.16	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.07
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.13	-0.00	12	56%	0.19	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.14
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.16	-0.05	0.15	23	70%	0.09	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	13	52%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.3	25.3	14.6	31.4	2.6	37.4	136.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +54.7%

PHX -13.4%

PHX -13.3%

SAS +12.5%

SAS +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.1	14.2	121.2	120.4	109.6
season	14.1	14.1		110.8	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.2		110.2	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.9	14.0	15.0	17.6	15.1
PHX	14.3	16.6	13.2	12.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	71	72	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-10	22	15.4	14.5	0.92	14.0	14.5	-0.58
Trey Lyles	44	44	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.09	21	-19	40	13.8	16.1	-2.30	14.3	14.0	0.29
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	68	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-6	14	15.0	15.3	-0.33	13.3	15.9	-2.62
Bryn Forbes	70	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-7	16	14.7	16.2	-1.58	13.7	15.1	-1.41
Marco Belinelli	48	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.56	-11	13	-24	15.7	14.6	1.14	14.4	13.8	0.61
Derrick White	54	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.41	-6	8	-14	15.4	14.8	0.63	13.7	14.6	-0.90
Jakob Poeltl	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.16	-3	5	-8	15.8	14.8	1.04	15.6	13.4	2.15
Lonnie Walker IV	35	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	8	-14	15.2	15.1	0.12	16.0	13.1	2.89
Dejounte Murray	49	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	5	-8	15.4	14.9	0.53	14.0	14.2	-0.15
Patty Mills	26	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.18	-11	13	-24	15.0	15.2	-0.22	13.7	14.3	-0.58

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheick Diallo	19	20	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-5	8	16.3	13.6	2.67	13.9	15.4	-1.47
Elie Okobo	24	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-7	12	13.0	14.5	-1.47	15.5	15.0	0.57
Jevon Carter	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-7	12	15.5	13.4	2.10	14.1	15.6	-1.52
Kelly Oubre Jr.	76	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-5	8	14.4	13.1	1.26	15.4	14.2	1.29
Devin Booker	79	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.51	6	-8	14	13.3	17.4	-4.10	15.2	14.9	0.29
Mikal Bridges	64	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-6	10	14.0	14.4	-0.37	15.8	13.8	2.00
Dario Saric	44	43	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.13	-22	20	-42	14.2	14.0	0.21	13.9	16.1	-2.23
Deandre Ayton	79	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	3	-8	13.6	16.3	-2.67	15.4	13.9	1.47
Ricky Rubio	74	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	7	-16	14.5	13.0	1.47	15.2	15.0	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.22,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.13,0	91.8%
TOR 92, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.38,0.63,0.57,0.08,0	91.8%
IND 103, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.02,0	91.6%