NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	5.3 [733]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +16.6%
Denver Nuggets	94		Comeback	1.2 [497]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -20.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.15	0.06	0.04	9	91%	0.22	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	4	85%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	90%	0.10	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.06	24	53%	0.14	5	-0.12	10	70%	-0.03
Fred Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Al Harrington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.19	-0.06	-0.05	15	24%	-0.11	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	77%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	13	44%	0.01	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	3	57%	-0.02	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.13	0.03	26	52%	0.01	3	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	30.3	16.3	25.8	1.7	43.5	141.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +38.4%

IND +10.8%

IND +10.9%

DEN -6.6%

DEN -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DEN	NBA	IND	DEN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.5	15.7	112.0	98.9	100.5
season	16.7	14.9		101.1	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.1	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.9	17.7	16.7	16.2	16.3
DEN	15.8	17.4	14.7	11.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	76	80	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.04	19	-10	29	15.4	20.4	-4.93	14.9	12.3	2.68
Reggie Miller	58	59	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	-10	29	15.0	18.5	-3.48	15.3	13.3	1.92
Jeff Foster	60	61	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.19	13	-4	17	15.6	17.6	-2.02	15.7	12.4	3.34
Anthony Johnson	66	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-5	19	15.5	18.5	-3.01	14.8	13.8	1.05
Jermaine O'Neal	75	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	16.1	17.3	-1.21	15.0	12.4	2.64
Austin Croshere	19	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	12	-15	17.9	15.9	2.00	12.4	15.0	-2.57
Fred Jones	32	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	11	-13	16.7	16.1	0.64	12.1	15.9	-3.86
Jonathan Bender	12	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	15	-21	21.2	15.6	5.69	12.3	14.8	-2.51
Kenny Anderson	30	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	15	-21	18.6	15.2	3.41	13.5	15.1	-1.64
Al Harrington	32	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.24	-13	22	-35	18.9	14.9	3.99	13.8	14.9	-1.12

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney White	33	31	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.11	13	-22	35	13.1	15.3	-2.15	18.9	15.0	3.92
Michael Doleac	10	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-11	13	16.8	14.3	2.54	21.5	15.6	5.95
Earl Boykins	47	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.28	9	-18	27	12.8	16.2	-3.44	17.3	15.4	1.99
Francisco Elson	44	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.34	10	-19	29	13.9	15.1	-1.19	18.2	14.7	3.53
Marcus Camby	57	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	4	-17	15.7	12.7	2.98	15.3	17.8	-2.47
Voshon Lenard	54	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.10	-21	12	-33	14.9	14.0	0.97	14.7	18.3	-3.62
Nene	71	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	3	-15	14.7	13.9	0.87	15.8	17.7	-1.91
Carmelo Anthony	86	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	5	-19	14.7	13.0	1.69	16.4	15.2	1.15
Andre Miller	73	70	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.17	-19	10	-29	14.7	13.9	0.80	14.8	21.0	-6.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.08,0	94.3%
GSW 81, LAL 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.04,0	94.3%
NJN 94, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.01,0,0	94.1%