NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	4.7 [910]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +10.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	89		Comeback	1.0 [610]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (NJN): -9.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.05	0.03	10	57%	0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	27	52%	0.10	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Kris Humphries	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	10	56%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	45%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Johan Petro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	26%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	16%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	10	65%	0.11	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	61%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	0	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	6	71%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.05	13	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.05	12	60%	0.06	5	-0.12	11	73%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	10	20%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	32.3	15.4	28.3	2.5	35.7	141.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +16.0%

CHA -6.0%

NJN +11.4%

NJN +24.1%

NJN +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHA	NBA	NJN	CHA	NBA
this game	17.1	14.1	15.5	102.2	95.7	105.7
season	16.4	16.2		101.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.0	17.2	18.4	17.9	17.1
CHA	15.0	14.8	13.7	12.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	67	66	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.06	17	-12	29	17.1	17.0	0.08	14.5	13.0	1.48
Devin Harris	63	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	-1	7	16.9	17.4	-0.51	14.1	13.9	0.18
Brook Lopez	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-1	7	17.7	13.9	3.86	14.3	12.6	1.73
Kris Humphries	61	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	7	-9	17.0	17.2	-0.14	14.2	13.8	0.32
Sasha Vujacic	48	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.31	1	4	-3	17.4	16.7	0.71	12.9	15.5	-2.55
Travis Outlaw	61	57	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	7	-9	16.4	18.5	-2.04	14.5	13.3	1.18
Derrick Favors	30	31	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	2	1	17.2	17.0	0.20	14.4	13.9	0.50
Jordan Farmar	29	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	4	-3	17.4	16.9	0.51	13.5	14.3	-0.76
Johan Petro	12	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	4	-3	16.7	17.1	-0.40	13.5	14.1	-0.69
Quinton Ross	12	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	11	-17	15.3	17.4	-2.03	13.0	14.2	-1.24

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	19	19	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.19	8	-13	21	14.2	14.0	0.20	18.1	16.8	1.27
Nazr Mohammed	16	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.5	14.0	0.54	16.4	17.2	-0.80
Gerald Henderson	33	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-7	9	14.6	13.7	0.90	16.7	17.3	-0.67
Eduardo Najera	32	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-6	7	14.7	13.7	1.06	17.0	17.1	-0.15
Shaun Livingston	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-9	13	13.7	14.3	-0.54	17.7	16.7	1.00
Gerald Wallace	80	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-7	9	13.7	15.9	-2.17	17.3	16.1	1.21
D.J. Augustin	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	2	-9	14.2	13.8	0.36	16.1	18.6	-2.44
Boris Diaw	59	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.13	-10	5	-15	14.0	14.2	-0.19	16.4	18.3	-1.94
Kwame Brown	56	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	5	-15	13.8	14.4	-0.58	18.2	15.4	2.79
Stephen Jackson	76	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	7	-19	14.0	14.4	-0.44	17.2	16.7	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.25,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	94.8%
MIA 108, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.04,0,0,0	94.6%
SAS 96, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.05,0	94.4%