inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 96 Excitement4.8 [871] MVPBruce Bowen (SAS): +8.1%
Sacramento Kings 93 Comeback1.1 [566] LVPBrad Miller (SAC): -11.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.080.060.02-0.00862%0.0800.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.070.020.01-0.041659%0.154-0.08771%-0.01
Tim Duncan0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.060.020.03-0.001661%0.134-0.084100%0.03
Rasho Nesterovic0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.00856%0.0300.002100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.080.05-0.051144%0.084-0.06580%0.01
Nazr Mohammed0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01275%0.052-0.034100%0.02
Nick Van Exel0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00267%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Michael Finley-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01744%0.011-0.024100%0.01
Fabricio Oberto-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06-0.02-0.030.00050%-0.001-0.05250%-0.01
Brent Barry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.070.070.11-0.020.012360%0.173-0.099100%0.06
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.00450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01960%0.042-0.062100%0.01
Kenny Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.010.03647%-0.011-0.017100%0.03
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.001044%0.002-0.03580%0.00
Brian Skinner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00333%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011942%-0.023-0.05540%-0.02
Brad Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.01-0.01425%-0.034-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.91.727.215.531.42.534.8135.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +34.9%
SAS +4.7%
SAS +4.0%
SAS +3.3%
SAS +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSACNBASASSACNBA
this game15.714.015.699.095.9104.4
season16.315.3106.0104.7
opponent15.515.6103.899.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.315.914.518.315.7
SAC13.916.113.712.514.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan73730.60-0.100.700.2512-92115.815.40.3514.213.40.79
Bruce Bowen69690.53-0.030.550.298-51315.516.2-0.7014.113.80.27
Tony Parker66670.52-0.020.550.2011-81915.615.9-0.2813.615.0-1.48
Manu Ginobili61620.450.050.410.199-61515.915.40.5114.812.72.07
Rasho Nesterovic30310.320.180.13-0.0111-81914.516.2-1.7616.612.83.78
Robert Horry770.160.34-0.180.19-14-520.315.34.967.714.5-6.79
Michael Finley48460.070.43-0.370.27-710-1715.915.50.3412.715.2-2.42
Fabricio Oberto34330.030.47-0.440.23-710-1716.115.40.6713.414.3-0.98
Nick Van Exel3130-0.020.52-0.550.21-811-1915.915.60.2815.013.61.48
Brent Barry1617-0.040.54-0.590.07-47-1115.315.8-0.4414.413.90.49
Nazr Mohammed5050-0.110.61-0.710.16-912-2115.316.0-0.7013.414.6-1.18

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Martin77-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-3313.414.1-0.6319.615.44.19
Jason Hart3129-0.02-0.480.45-0.144-71115.813.22.6915.915.60.36
Brian Skinner1816-0.03-0.470.45-0.030-3315.013.81.2215.315.8-0.44
Corliss Williamson1616-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-30-315.513.71.7815.415.7-0.37
Kenny Thomas5251-0.13-0.370.24-0.4511-142513.015.1-2.0916.414.81.58
Francisco Garcia7374-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.370-3313.415.7-2.3115.416.7-1.27
Brad Miller6767-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.390-3314.213.50.7416.014.91.08
Shareef Abdur-Rahim5760-0.45-0.05-0.400.05-1714-3114.313.60.7414.817.2-2.40
Mike Bibby7274-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.25-74-1113.515.4-1.8215.715.60.09
Bonzi Wells9291-0.500.00-0.51-0.42-30-314.014.2-0.2015.617.2-1.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 108, ATL 930.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.04,0,0,095.6%
NYK 108, MEM 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.17,0.26,0.11,0.03,0.02,095.4%
MIN 113, GSW 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,095.2%