NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	6.5 [508]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +7.6%
Miami Heat	90		Comeback	1.2 [455]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -20.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,0.08	-0.05	0.13	0.00	23	56%	0.22	5	-0.15	17	94%	0.06
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Amal McCaskill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.03	9	78%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	3	64%	-0.01	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2	-0.14	-0.08	-0.02	8	35%	-0.09	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.08

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brian Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.01	11	48%	0.10	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	17	57%	0.06	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	4	28%	-0.10	1	-0.02	10	30%	-0.08
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	22	41%	-0.08	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	17	43%	-0.11	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.03
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	7	43%	-0.05	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	500.1	2.4	37.4	15.4	26.7	2.5	33.4	617.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +46.4%

PHI +3.9%

PHI +6.2%

MIA -10.0%

PHI +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.7	104.5	100.0	100.5
season	16.2	16.2		96.7	99.3
opponent	15.9	15.8		98.8	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	15.1	17.7	18.8	16.4
MIA	15.9	17.6	15.7	14.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	70	70	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	-2	7	16.7	15.2	1.56	15.7	16.2	-0.51
Kenny Thomas	68	69	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	-1	5	16.9	14.6	2.37	16.1	14.9	1.23
Aaron McKie	53	50	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	-2	7	16.3	16.4	-0.10	15.2	16.5	-1.30
Allen Iverson	81	82	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.40	1	2	-1	17.0	10.4	6.60	15.7	16.7	-1.04
Amal McCaskill	42	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-6	15	16.2	16.5	-0.27	17.5	14.4	3.15
Derrick Coleman	46	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.35	-7	10	-17	18.1	14.6	3.53	15.2	16.5	-1.22
John Salmons	33	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	5	-7	13.0	18.4	-5.33	15.5	16.0	-0.56
Kyle Korver	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	1	1	14.0	16.6	-2.55	14.7	15.9	-1.21
Samuel Dalembert	24	26	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	1	1	15.6	16.7	-1.04	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Greg Buckner	22	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	7	-11	14.7	16.9	-2.20	16.7	15.5	1.24

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	22	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-7	11	15.5	15.9	-0.46	18.0	15.9	2.18
John Wallace	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-4	5	16.5	15.7	0.85	15.9	16.4	-0.54
Samaki Walker	19	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	0	-3	15.2	16.0	-0.81	13.4	17.2	-3.83
Lamar Odom	71	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.46	7	-10	17	15.2	18.2	-3.06	17.5	11.6	5.85
Rafer Alston	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	15.3	16.8	-1.52	15.2	18.9	-3.61
Brian Grant	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	0	-3	16.2	15.1	1.10	16.9	15.6	1.34
Loren Woods	43	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	10	-23	17.5	14.2	3.32	17.0	15.9	1.13
Eddie Jones	84	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	1	-5	15.7	17.0	-1.29	16.2	19.2	-2.99
Dwyane Wade	85	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.38	-6	3	-9	15.8	16.6	-0.85	16.1	19.8	-3.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 103, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.02,0	94.3%
MIA 98, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	94.3%
GSW 81, LAL 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.04,0	94.3%