NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	8.9 [184]		MVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): +29.8%
New York Knicks	87		Comeback	1.5 [635]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -45.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.30	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,0.3	0.03	0.26	-0.00	13	56%	0.47	2	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	12	63%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	15	55%	0.09	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.08
James Ennis III	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Raul Neto	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norvel Pelle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.21,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.16,-0.25	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	15	55%	-0.04	7	-0.21	3	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	4	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0,-0.09,-0.09,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	17	56%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	73%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	13	52%	0.10	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	8	31%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	19%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.45	-0.45	-0.09	-0.35	0.02	13	47%	-0.03	5	-0.42	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	28.5	15.3	24.5	2.3	36.6	136.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +46.8%

PHI +6.4%

NYK -25.9%

PHI +18.4%

PHI +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	16.1	14.2	96.8	92.6	109.6
season	14.8	14.5		110.0	105.4
opponent	14.4	14.1		111.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.9	13.8	14.8	15.5	14.7
NYK	15.8	16.2	15.8	16.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	69	69	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.31	17	-14	31	14.2	16.3	-2.13	15.5	17.8	-2.34
Ben Simmons	75	76	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.39	-3	6	-9	15.1	12.9	2.26	16.2	15.6	0.59
Tobias Harris	65	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	5	-7	15.4	13.0	2.45	16.7	14.8	1.92
Al Horford	64	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.44	-6	9	-15	15.3	13.4	1.83	15.8	16.7	-0.92
Norvel Pelle	29	29	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	-6	15	13.4	15.3	-1.83	16.7	15.8	0.92
Furkan Korkmaz	38	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.41	-7	10	-17	15.7	14.1	1.60	17.2	15.3	1.94
Mike Scott	28	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	-2	7	13.0	15.4	-2.45	14.8	16.7	-1.92
Raul Neto	18	18	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	-3	9	12.9	15.1	-2.26	15.6	16.2	-0.59
James Ennis III	22	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	0	3	14.2	14.9	-0.63	16.3	16.0	0.23
Matisse Thybulle	57	56	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	10	-17	14.9	14.4	0.57	16.0	16.2	-0.25

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	60	59	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.40	13	-16	29	16.1	16.0	0.18	15.8	12.9	2.88
Taj Gibson	47	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-3	3	14.8	17.3	-2.51	16.0	13.5	2.41
Allonzo Trier	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	4	-11	18.9	15.1	3.81	13.2	15.3	-2.12
Marcus Morris Sr.	72	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-8	13	16.1	16.2	-0.13	15.0	13.8	1.24
Bobby Portis	27	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	6	-15	16.5	15.9	0.61	13.1	15.3	-2.20
Julius Randle	67	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-9	15	15.9	16.5	-0.61	15.3	13.1	2.20
Kevin Knox II	22	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	5	-13	16.2	16.1	0.13	13.8	15.0	-1.24
Mitchell Robinson	47	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	0	-3	17.3	14.8	2.51	13.5	16.0	-2.41
Reggie Bullock	69	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.49	4	-7	11	15.1	18.9	-3.81	15.3	13.2	2.12
Frank Ntilikina	34	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.01	-16	13	-29	16.0	16.1	-0.18	12.9	15.8	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.23,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, LAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.19,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.26,0	93.0%
WAS 108, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.35,0.58,0	92.6%
CHH 97, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	92.5%