NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	7.4 [349]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (CHI): +15.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	89		Comeback	1.5 [94]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -21.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16	0.02	0.14	-0.00	7	69%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Eddy Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	16	58%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	62%	-0.02	1	-0.04	12	92%	0.02
A.J. Guyton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	12	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	4	56%	0.01	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	0.00	13	42%	-0.06	4	-0.16	5	80%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	52%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.03	4	80%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.05	2	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	14	32%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.10	0.02	26	61%	0.21	8	-0.35	10	90%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	33.2	16.4	24.5	2.4	40.4	140.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +21.7%

CHI +9.3%

CHI +11.6%

CHI +3.8%

CHI +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAL	NBA	CHI	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	15.6	103.2	94.7	102.3
season	15.6	15.3		96.3	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	17.7	15.4	15.9	16.1
LAL	18.9	13.6	13.4	12.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	54	52	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-7	22	16.1	16.1	0.01	13.8	15.4	-1.53
Metta World Peace	64	66	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.31	3	5	-2	15.6	17.2	-1.56	14.6	14.5	0.10
Kevin Ollie	54	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	0	8	14.4	18.4	-4.04	13.4	16.1	-2.73
Marcus Fizer	62	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	0	8	17.4	13.5	3.90	14.9	13.8	1.16
Brad Miller	49	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	9	-10	18.0	14.1	3.91	16.5	12.4	4.18
Tyson Chandler	54	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	6	-4	14.2	18.7	-4.47	13.3	16.3	-3.04
Fred Hoiberg	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	3	2	14.1	16.9	-2.75	12.6	15.3	-2.70
Eddy Curry	18	17	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	5	-2	16.4	16.0	0.42	15.6	14.3	1.29
A.J. Guyton	40	39	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	6	-4	18.4	14.4	4.04	16.1	13.4	2.73
Eddie Robinson	48	50	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	13	-18	16.2	16.0	0.29	14.8	14.2	0.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	40	39	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-9	10	15.5	13.8	1.64	16.2	16.0	0.17
Mitch Richmond	13	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-7	6	13.9	14.6	-0.71	17.1	15.9	1.13
Lindsey Hunter	32	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-7	6	15.4	14.1	1.28	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Mark Madsen	46	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-6	4	13.5	15.5	-1.98	16.5	15.7	0.85
Samaki Walker	63	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-8	8	15.3	13.0	2.33	16.8	14.5	2.31
Devean George	36	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-3	-2	16.7	13.2	3.46	17.1	15.4	1.63
Rick Fox	58	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-5	2	13.2	16.7	-3.46	15.4	17.1	-1.63
Derek Fisher	63	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	13.9	15.8	-1.90	16.4	15.4	0.99
Kobe Bryant	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	14.6	13.9	0.71	15.9	17.1	-1.13
Robert Horry	38	38	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.28	-15	7	-22	13.8	15.0	-1.20	14.2	17.4	-3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.19,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.54,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.16,0	91.5%
BOS 102, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	91.4%
SAS 92, NOH 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.08,0.13,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.28,0	91.4%