NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	7.2 [404]		MVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): +10.1%
Atlanta Hawks	89		Comeback	1.3 [624]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (ATL): -15.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	6	87%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Mike Miller	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	72%	0.14	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06
James Posey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.08	0.11	-0.01	10	32%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Burks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	9	40%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Shane Battier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.02	13	62%	-0.01	2	-0.06	13	77%	-0.03
Earl Watson	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.05	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.06	-0.07	20	60%	0.08	4	-0.08	12	83%	0.04
Boris Diaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jason Collier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	18	59%	0.07	5	-0.15	8	75%	-0.03
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	13	38%	-0.05	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	0.7	32.1	15.6	30.5	1.6	38.2	145.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +48.6%

MEM +3.0%

ATL -12.6%

MEM +7.4%

MEM +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ATL	NBA	MEM	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.5	106.6	96.7	104.0
season	16.4	15.6		103.7	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.5		108.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.1	15.9	16.7	15.2	15.5
ATL	17.2	16.1	16.0	14.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	71	71	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.21	16	-8	24	14.7	18.1	-3.40	16.3	15.0	1.26
Mike Miller	59	60	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.14	18	-10	28	14.7	16.7	-2.00	16.2	15.6	0.61
Earl Watson	69	70	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-4	16	14.9	17.0	-2.10	16.2	15.5	0.75
Stromile Swift	50	49	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	3	2	15.2	15.8	-0.64	16.3	15.7	0.56
Shane Battier	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-1	10	15.9	14.9	1.01	16.7	15.1	1.62
James Posey	49	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	11	-14	15.3	15.6	-0.36	14.9	17.5	-2.57
Lorenzen Wright	30	30	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	5	-2	15.9	15.2	0.62	16.7	15.7	1.01
Antonio Burks	22	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	12	-16	17.0	14.9	2.10	15.5	16.2	-0.75
Jake Tsakalidis	21	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	14	-20	17.4	14.9	2.51	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Bonzi Wells	32	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	18	-28	16.7	14.7	2.00	15.6	16.2	-0.61

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	24	25	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-14	20	15.7	16.1	-0.37	16.4	15.1	1.31
Predrag Drobnjak	50	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-10	12	15.1	17.1	-2.06	15.5	15.4	0.04
Jelani McCoy	8	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-6	4	12.1	16.4	-4.27	12.7	15.7	-2.96
Boris Diaw	29	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-3	-2	15.8	16.1	-0.38	14.3	16.0	-1.67
Jason Collier	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-1	-6	21.2	15.2	6.07	16.4	15.3	1.09
Kenny Anderson	26	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	2	-12	17.4	15.5	1.90	15.6	15.4	0.21
Kevin Willis	21	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-7	6	16.5	15.9	0.65	15.7	15.4	0.36
Tony Delk	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-6	4	15.4	19.1	-3.64	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Al Harrington	81	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	16.3	13.6	2.71	15.4	16.0	-0.63
Antoine Walker	87	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	0	-8	16.0	15.8	0.23	15.6	11.2	4.39
Josh Smith	44	42	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	0	-8	16.0	16.1	-0.13	15.5	15.4	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.54,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0	92.8%
MIA 95, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.07,0.09,0.26,0	92.5%
UTA 90, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.13,0	92.2%