inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 102 Excitement6.5 [521] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +18.1%
Portland Trail Blazers 96 Comeback1.4 [515] LVPZach Randolph (POR): -9.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.180,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.180.150.050.022564%0.293-0.11887%0.03
Wally Szczerbiak0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.160.030.13-0.001954%0.223-0.07875%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.002150%0.0800.0000%0.00
Ryan Gomes0.060,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.030.030.00859%0.091-0.03650%-0.01
Raef LaFrentz0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.020.00856%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Michael Olowokandi0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwayne Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.00367%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Orien Greene-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00737%0.021-0.042100%0.02
Delonte West-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02617%-0.051-0.0200%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Blake0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.080.080.040.00-0.041059%0.101-0.0220%-0.08
Darius Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.080.080.030.050.011450%0.0800.00450%-0.02
Travis Outlaw0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.04-0.01948%0.0700.00560%-0.01
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.002100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Viktor Khryapa0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ha Seung-Jin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.01-0.00844%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Martell Webster0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.07-0.080.071767%0.044-0.112100%0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.060.011747%-0.032-0.06683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.524.415.427.02.038.1133.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +27.5%
BOS +11.5%
BOS +9.5%
POR -1.7%
BOS +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSPORNBABOSPORNBA
this game15.517.415.6115.9110.3104.4
season14.816.6103.399.4
opponent15.715.8109.8104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.316.914.416.315.5
POR18.418.219.214.417.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Gomes74730.60-0.100.700.3110-41416.012.73.2917.517.40.11
Delonte West70680.54-0.040.580.347-1815.415.7-0.2417.019.2-2.25
Raef LaFrentz46470.460.040.420.199-31217.013.83.2417.517.40.14
Paul Pierce74720.450.050.410.2860615.714.41.3317.616.61.03
Wally Szczerbiak71720.310.190.130.34-17-816.013.42.6316.820.3-3.49
Orien Greene34330.180.32-0.130.0451413.316.9-3.6118.117.11.04
Brian Scalabrine36350.130.37-0.240.0142215.015.8-0.7618.916.52.45
Michael Olowokandi10100.090.41-0.310.0033015.515.50.0321.017.04.01
Tony Allen2021-0.040.54-0.580.05-39-1214.215.9-1.6517.817.30.48
Dwayne Jones11-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-28-100.015.7-15.661.017.6-16.64
Gerald Green43-0.160.66-0.830.07-814-229.015.8-6.794.317.9-13.58

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ha Seung-Jin66-0.06-0.440.370.02-3-3025.716.88.8318.815.23.60
Travis Outlaw5151-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-4217.517.40.1015.116.0-0.90
Jarrett Jack3232-0.18-0.320.14-0.07-4-2-219.316.33.0015.115.7-0.65
Juan Dixon5052-0.24-0.260.03-0.302-81016.918.2-1.2915.315.7-0.32
Darius Miles6060-0.25-0.250.01-0.395-111616.918.6-1.6616.613.13.42
Zach Randolph7677-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.280-6616.623.1-6.4615.118.5-3.40
Steve Blake5556-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.26-2-4216.319.3-3.0015.715.10.65
Viktor Khryapa3130-0.39-0.11-0.290.05-159-2419.516.33.2115.515.50.03
Martell Webster7476-0.610.11-0.72-0.29-115-1617.517.10.4415.117.7-2.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 101, NYK 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.32,0.05,093.3%
LAL 100, MIN 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.15,093.2%
MIA 86, POR 760.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,093.1%