NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	8.0 [256]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (LAL): +32.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.6 [730]		LVP	Zach LaVine (MIN): -32.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.13	0.18	-0.01	14	71%	0.35	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.34,0.32	0.01	0.30	-0.01	20	49%	0.38	2	-0.06	13	77%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Robert Sacre	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	10	54%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	21	57%	0.12	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	12	50%	0.12	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.10
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	57%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.33	-0.33	-0.16	-0.18	-0.00	15	31%	-0.17	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.4	29.2	15.4	26.7	1.4	41.4	139.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.5%

LAL +3.5%

MIN -14.5%

LAL +15.2%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.1	103.1	97.9	104.2
season	15.5	15.0		101.9	101.2
opponent	15.0	14.7		110.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	13.5	14.1	15.9	14.8
MIN	13.0	16.5	17.2	13.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	53	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	2	2	16.0	13.4	2.63	14.0	16.3	-2.37
Wesley Johnson	59	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	4	-2	14.3	15.7	-1.34	15.3	14.6	0.70
Wayne Ellington	25	23	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	-3	12	13.4	15.3	-1.95	15.0	15.0	0.06
Jordan Hill	57	57	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	8	-10	15.3	14.1	1.18	15.5	14.2	1.30
Kobe Bryant	72	70	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	6	-6	15.1	14.0	1.09	14.7	15.9	-1.21
Ronnie Price	52	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	4	-2	14.3	15.4	-1.12	15.7	14.3	1.38
Jeremy Lin	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-1	8	14.7	14.9	-0.17	15.0	15.0	-0.00
Robert Sacre	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	0	6	14.7	15.0	-0.31	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Nick Young	48	48	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	4	-2	15.6	14.1	1.50	14.0	16.0	-2.04
Ed Davis	42	41	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	6	-6	13.8	15.6	-1.78	16.6	13.8	2.85

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robbie Hummel	16	17	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-7	8	17.2	14.6	2.62	14.4	14.9	-0.53
Jeff Adrien	10	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-5	4	17.8	14.7	3.13	13.2	15.1	-1.88
Shabazz Muhammad	59	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-2	-2	14.2	16.4	-2.20	14.4	15.5	-1.20
Thaddeus Young	69	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.35	7	-13	20	15.4	14.0	1.44	15.2	13.9	1.34
Chase Budinger	19	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	3	-12	13.0	15.5	-2.49	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Anthony Bennett	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	3	-12	15.4	14.7	0.65	14.2	15.3	-1.11
Zach LaVine	76	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-3	0	15.6	12.7	2.91	14.6	15.7	-1.04
Corey Brewer	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	14.6	15.8	-1.19	14.9	14.8	0.10
Gorgui Dieng	74	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	1	-8	14.2	17.7	-3.54	15.4	13.2	2.12
Andrew Wiggins	54	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	-4	2	15.4	14.5	0.89	15.5	14.0	1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 76, CHH 71	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.18,0	93.5%
BOS 102, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	93.2%
HOU 102, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%