inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 108 Excitement10.6 [55] MVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): +62.7%
Seattle SuperSonics 106 Comeback3.2 [326] LVPDeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -8.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0.630,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.630.280.35-0.002470%0.742-0.111283%0.04
Antonio Daniels0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.230.010.22-0.00747%0.2300.00580%0.09
Antawn Jamison0.180,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0.18,0.18-0.040.21-0.012142%0.191-0.01850%-0.05
Darius Songaila0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.140.070.070.00769%0.1400.00250%-0.05
Andray Blatche0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.03-0.00875%0.141-0.0400%0.00
Brendan Haywood0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Calvin Booth-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00625%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02714%-0.071-0.0200%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.35,0.390.390.040.35-0.002449%0.431-0.035100%0.12
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.012054%0.112-0.061050%-0.07
Damien Wilkins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.03-0.01948%0.062-0.047100%0.04
Andre Brown00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0,0-0.000.06-0.060.001068%0.122-0.12250%-0.02
Nick Collison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.011042%0.022-0.064100%0.03
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04-0.040.01-0.040.011148%-0.011-0.03367%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01333%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Mickael Gelabale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02425%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.91.027.314.830.81.836.4138.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +67.3%
SEA -2.8%
SEA -47.0%
WAS +26.4%
WAS +6.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASSEANBAWASSEANBA
this game14.915.315.4112.5111.6104.5
season14.815.4107.8105.5
opponent15.415.3108.3108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS13.916.615.014.114.9
SEA16.814.713.815.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gilbert Arenas76760.65-0.150.810.428-61414.416.6-2.1715.613.91.66
Andray Blatche66650.62-0.120.750.514-2614.415.9-1.5214.816.3-1.55
Antawn Jamison81830.450.050.400.315-3815.113.91.1315.712.72.98
Darius Songaila60580.410.090.330.4102-214.715.2-0.5416.014.21.78
Antonio Daniels44430.310.190.110.45-57-1215.214.60.6315.015.5-0.42
Etan Thomas15140.080.42-0.350.0220214.415.0-0.5815.815.20.60
Michael Ruffin1090.010.49-0.470.10-35-815.614.80.8016.915.11.78
DeShawn Stevenson47460.000.50-0.49-0.083-1414.815.0-0.1914.316.2-1.96
Brendan Haywood4242-0.010.51-0.520.08-35-815.314.60.6714.416.0-1.56
Calvin Booth1413-0.010.51-0.52-0.0102-215.914.71.1414.315.4-1.12
Roger Mason Jr.2526-0.020.52-0.550.01-13-415.814.51.2916.015.01.00

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mickael Gelabale10100.05-0.550.59-0.043-5815.015.3-0.3117.414.62.81
Andre Brown220.02-0.520.54-0.042-4618.515.23.3014.014.9-0.90
Nick Collison5252-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-1015.914.51.4315.314.40.92
Johan Petro2425-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-42-615.115.3-0.2514.215.1-0.98
Chris Wilcox8281-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.453-5815.414.50.9415.412.03.42
Rashard Lewis8182-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.33-20-215.315.10.1514.517.4-2.89
Earl Watson6465-0.530.03-0.55-0.44-31-415.115.6-0.4615.214.20.97
Luke Ridnour8183-0.540.04-0.58-0.39-53-814.917.4-2.5314.616.5-1.82
Damien Wilkins7980-0.550.05-0.59-0.46-31-415.215.6-0.4214.417.1-2.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.35,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 91, POR 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.36,0.57,0.73,092.3%
PHX 95, VAN 920.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.27,091.3%
SEA 98, MIA 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.41,090.9%