NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	9.9 [78]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +34.8%
Miami Heat	96		Comeback	1.4 [460]		LVP	Christian Laettner (MIA): -24.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35	0.10	0.24	-0.01	25	64%	0.43	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.12
Antonio Daniels	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.10	0.00	5	70%	0.19	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	8	60%	-0.02	2	-0.07	9	78%	-0.04
Rashard Lewis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	20	41%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	9	50%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,0,-0.12,-0.23,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	22	51%	0.12	4	-0.19	11	91%	0.08
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	13	61%	-0.05	3	-0.10	15	60%	-0.10
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.19	-0.19	-0.00	-0.20	-0.01	11	50%	-0.19	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.22
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.25	-0.25	-0.05	-0.19	0.00	2	0%	-0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.8	27.4	15.8	27.3	0.8	42.2	140.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +20.6%

SEA +5.5%

SEA +18.9%

MIA -1.3%

SEA +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIA	NBA	SEA	MIA	NBA
this game	17.7	15.6	15.5	112.6	111.6	104.0
season	16.5	15.7		109.5	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.8	17.1	18.3	16.7	17.7
MIA	14.6	17.2	14.5	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	44	46	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.49	7	-5	12	17.9	17.5	0.42	15.3	15.8	-0.45
Vladimir Radmanovic	55	54	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-4	10	17.8	17.7	0.11	15.9	15.0	0.84
Rashard Lewis	75	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	-1	4	17.8	17.1	0.74	15.2	17.7	-2.51
Danny Fortson	60	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	-3	8	17.7	17.8	-0.13	15.9	14.9	0.99
Ray Allen	78	78	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	6	-10	17.2	22.0	-4.77	15.2	18.7	-3.52
Nick Collison	11	14	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	0	2	18.6	17.6	1.04	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Luke Ridnour	70	68	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	1	0	17.6	18.3	-0.71	16.2	13.2	2.95
Jerome James	15	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.11	-5	7	-12	17.4	17.8	-0.39	15.6	15.5	0.07
Reggie Evans	27	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	7	-12	18.7	17.3	1.42	15.2	15.7	-0.52

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	61	62	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-8	14	15.3	16.3	-1.02	17.7	17.8	-0.16
Rasual Butler	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-3	4	0.0	15.6	-15.56	0.0	17.9	-17.93
Michael Doleac	18	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-2	2	12.8	16.3	-3.52	16.8	17.9	-1.12
Shandon Anderson	24	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	1	-4	16.0	15.4	0.56	18.4	17.5	0.92
Keyon Dooling	20	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	0	-2	16.7	15.2	1.55	16.4	18.2	-1.82
Eddie Jones	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-7	12	15.1	18.2	-3.15	17.7	17.6	0.13
Damon Jones	66	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-2	2	15.2	16.7	-1.55	18.2	16.4	1.82
Shaquille O'Neal	67	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	1	-4	16.5	12.2	4.30	18.2	15.8	2.45
Dwyane Wade	75	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	4	-10	15.9	13.3	2.62	17.5	19.6	-2.04
Christian Laettner	26	26	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.40	-8	6	-14	15.7	15.5	0.25	17.7	17.7	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.23,0.53,0	92.9%
DAL 101, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.09,0.18,0	92.6%
NYK 101, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.09,0.58,0	92.2%