NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	7.6 [319]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +35.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.3 [763]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -10.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.35	0.18	0.15	-0.02	18	77%	0.46	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.14	0.00	15	63%	0.28	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.08	0.12	0.03	8	65%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.08	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.06	6	17%	-0.14
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Jose Juan Barea	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Peja Stojakovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	8	89%	0.28	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	14	47%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	13	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.07
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.09	-0.02	15	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.04
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	64%	0.03	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	28%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	28.2	15.6	26.3	2.4	36.2	132.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +63.9%

PHI -6.8%

DAL +14.2%

PHI -18.8%

PHI -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.2	15.4	15.5	103.1	95.9	105.7
season	15.7	15.5		108.5	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.7	12.6	15.0	14.4	14.2
PHI	15.3	17.6	13.2	15.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	63	63	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.28	16	-8	24	13.6	15.3	-1.71	15.7	14.7	1.01
Shawn Marion	59	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-4	16	13.7	14.9	-1.27	15.6	15.0	0.54
Ian Mahinmi	23	25	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	-1	10	12.7	14.7	-2.00	14.0	15.8	-1.83
Dirk Nowitzki	76	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	6	-4	14.8	12.0	2.82	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Jason Kidd	75	74	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	3	2	14.0	14.8	-0.78	15.1	16.2	-1.07
Tyson Chandler	26	26	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	1	6	13.4	14.5	-1.04	16.5	14.9	1.56
Jose Juan Barea	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	5	-2	14.6	14.0	0.68	16.4	14.9	1.51
Peja Stojakovic	61	61	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	6	-4	13.9	14.7	-0.79	15.2	15.7	-0.53
Brendan Haywood	49	46	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	16	-24	15.3	13.1	2.24	15.5	15.3	0.18
Rodrigue Beaubois	27	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	16	-24	15.6	13.6	1.94	14.0	15.9	-1.86

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	28	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-9	10	15.1	15.5	-0.36	14.7	14.0	0.72
Jodie Meeks	68	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-6	4	15.2	15.8	-0.62	14.5	13.4	1.06
Evan Turner	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-4	0	15.9	15.0	0.92	14.2	14.2	0.05
Lou Williams	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	0	-8	16.0	14.9	1.05	12.8	15.2	-2.33
Marreese Speights	27	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-3	-2	15.9	15.2	0.68	14.6	14.0	0.56
Thaddeus Young	63	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-2	-4	14.9	16.2	-1.30	13.8	14.9	-1.14
Elton Brand	72	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-7	6	15.8	14.2	1.56	14.8	12.4	2.34
Jrue Holiday	76	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	14.9	17.0	-2.09	14.1	14.6	-0.49
Andre Iguodala	73	75	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	1	-10	15.3	15.6	-0.30	14.2	14.3	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.09,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.16,0	93.1%
SEA 98, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.41,0	92.6%
SEA 109, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.23,0,0	91.7%