NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	9.3 [118]		MVP	Trey Burke (NYK): +31.0%
Washington Wizards	97		Comeback	3.2 [226]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): -18.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,0.31	0.04	0.27	0.00	15	56%	0.37	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.26	0.05	0.21	-0.00	7	76%	0.33	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.04
Troy Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Lance Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	13	46%	-0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	15	37%	-0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.09	0.01	12	54%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	73%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	90%	0.14	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.12,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	14	42%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	17	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	13	43%	-0.03	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	9	21%	-0.15	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	32.2	15.7	25.5	2.6	31.6	134.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.2%

NYK +15.3%

WAS -0.2%

NYK +1.1%

NYK +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.0	14.7	104.1	99.0	107.5
season	14.9	14.8		105.9	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.5		107.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	12.9	18.9	15.5	15.5
WAS	13.5	14.8	13.9	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	66	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-5	14	14.5	17.5	-3.00	14.3	13.4	0.94
Courtney Lee	56	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-3	10	15.0	16.2	-1.15	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Tim Hardaway Jr.	70	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	4	-4	15.3	16.1	-0.79	14.4	13.2	1.21
Luke Kornet	37	38	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	-6	16	15.6	15.4	0.19	14.8	13.6	1.18
Trey Burke	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.43	-5	9	-14	15.7	15.3	0.36	14.5	13.5	0.94
Emmanuel Mudiay	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	-4	12	15.7	15.4	0.28	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Lance Thomas	38	39	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	9	-14	16.0	15.2	0.77	12.6	15.0	-2.37
Troy Williams	27	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	0	4	16.1	15.3	0.79	13.2	14.4	-1.21
Enes Kanter	54	54	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	9	-14	16.0	14.9	1.07	13.9	14.2	-0.21
Frank Ntilikina	41	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	7	-10	16.2	15.0	1.15	14.8	13.5	1.30

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	52	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	13.5	14.7	-1.15	16.9	14.1	2.80
Jason Smith	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-3	2	15.2	13.9	1.37	16.5	15.4	1.14
Ian Mahinmi	16	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	0	-4	12.7	14.3	-1.62	14.6	15.7	-1.17
Jodie Meeks	11	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	2	-8	14.2	14.0	0.16	12.9	15.9	-2.95
Tomas Satoransky	71	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.35	6	-10	16	14.0	14.1	-0.15	16.2	13.5	2.74
Ramon Sessions	35	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	3	-10	13.9	14.1	-0.15	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Otto Porter Jr.	58	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-8	12	14.2	13.8	0.41	15.2	15.9	-0.68
Marcin Gortat	33	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-2	0	14.2	14.0	0.26	14.2	16.2	-2.01
Markieff Morris	69	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-5	6	14.1	13.8	0.30	15.6	15.3	0.25
Kelly Oubre Jr.	53	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	4	-12	14.3	13.8	0.53	15.3	15.7	-0.36
Bradley Beal	79	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-3	2	14.1	13.8	0.31	15.5	15.3	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.09,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.41,0	92.2%
UTA 108, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.1,0.58,0	91.1%
CLE 86, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.28,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.23,0.53,0	91.0%