NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	8.6 [207]		MVP	Aaron Holiday (IND): +15.5%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	1.5 [713]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -29.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Okogie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	75%	0.14	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	11	41%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	8	67%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	0.07	-0.13	0.04	21	56%	0.13	3	-0.23	6	100%	0.07
Andrew Wiggins	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.03,-0.3	0.05	-0.34	0.02	17	59%	-0.03	3	-0.27	3	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	7	81%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.13	0.13	0.19	-0.07	-0.01	18	72%	0.32	1	-0.19	3	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.04	0.02	13	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	73%	0.09	5	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	12	50%	0.13	4	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	24.4	16.3	25.6	2.5	37.5	135.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +59.7%

MIN -6.8%

MIN -9.2%

IND +7.4%

MIN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	14.2	112.9	114.9	109.6
season	13.8	14.4		107.1	108.7
opponent	14.4	13.8		107.4	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	14.1	14.5	13.8	14.0
IND	13.9	14.7	13.8	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	71	72	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-11	20	14.1	13.9	0.15	15.1	13.0	2.12
Shabazz Napier	64	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-5	8	13.9	14.2	-0.28	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Jarrett Culver	77	78	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.36	8	-10	18	13.3	16.4	-3.06	14.7	13.9	0.78
Gorgui Dieng	39	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-3	4	13.5	14.4	-0.90	15.4	13.8	1.63
Jordan McLaughlin	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	1	-4	14.2	13.9	0.33	14.7	14.3	0.43
Keita Bates-Diop	32	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	0	-2	14.4	13.9	0.49	14.2	14.6	-0.44
Karl-Anthony Towns	62	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	1	-4	14.4	13.5	0.90	13.8	15.4	-1.63
Andrew Wiggins	73	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	1	-4	14.2	13.7	0.40	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Josh Okogie	51	49	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.33	-20	18	-38	14.7	13.4	1.31	13.7	15.2	-1.56

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	66	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.28	7	-5	12	13.9	15.6	-1.72	14.2	13.7	0.55
Jeremy Lamb	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	-3	8	13.9	15.6	-1.72	14.2	13.7	0.50
T.J. Warren	69	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	-1	4	13.8	16.0	-2.19	14.4	13.2	1.19
Doug McDermott	49	47	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-9	20	14.8	14.2	0.54	14.1	14.0	0.09
Goga Bitadze	25	23	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	-4	10	13.9	14.7	-0.74	11.8	14.7	-2.87
Myles Turner	52	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	-1	4	13.5	15.5	-1.97	15.1	12.8	2.38
Justin Holiday	57	55	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.31	-3	5	-8	14.8	14.0	0.80	13.7	14.5	-0.81
Aaron Holiday	35	34	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.14	-3	5	-8	15.6	13.9	1.72	13.7	14.2	-0.50
T.J. McConnell	35	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	7	-12	15.6	13.9	1.72	13.7	14.2	-0.55
Domantas Sabonis	51	53	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.19	-14	16	-30	16.0	12.9	3.08	13.7	14.4	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.71,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 62, DET 64	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.68,0.58,1	93.0%
NYK 67, PHI 72	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.58,1	91.4%
BKN 91, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.72,1	91.4%