NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	91		Excitement	7.2 [374]		MVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): +23.0%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	2.0 [936]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -28.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.17	0.10	0.09	0.01	13	79%	0.30	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Alan Anderson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15	0.07	0.10	0.02	7	76%	0.19	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Mirza Teletovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	0.04	-0.12	0.02	16	53%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.09	0.00	7	12%	-0.16	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.05
Deron Williams	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29	-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	7	14%	-0.20	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	11	79%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	9	74%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	6	47%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	0.08	-0.02	8	12%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	15	44%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	16	47%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.3	29.5	16.4	28.5	3.4	32.6	137.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +14.2%

ATL +12.9%

ATL +0.5%

ATL +21.0%

ATL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ATL	NBA	BKN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	15.1	97.8	101.1	104.2
season	15.3	14.9		102.9	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.8	16.7	15.6	16.4	15.6
ATL	15.0	14.0	15.1	16.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	27	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-8	11	15.0	15.8	-0.83	14.5	15.3	-0.75
Thaddeus Young	44	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-7	9	15.5	15.6	-0.09	15.9	14.2	1.75
Mirza Teletovic	8	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-3	1	12.2	15.9	-3.66	13.7	15.2	-1.53
Jarrett Jack	56	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.42	9	-14	23	15.2	16.1	-0.86	14.4	16.0	-1.55
Bojan Bogdanovic	64	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	0	-5	16.1	14.5	1.61	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Alan Anderson	60	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-7	9	15.5	15.7	-0.21	14.6	15.9	-1.32
Brook Lopez	76	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.32	-5	0	-5	15.8	14.8	1.01	15.4	13.8	1.51
Deron Williams	54	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	6	-17	15.8	15.4	0.40	15.7	14.2	1.55
Joe Johnson	76	77	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.20	-18	13	-31	15.8	14.8	0.94	14.9	15.5	-0.55

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	65	64	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.18	17	-12	29	14.9	15.4	-0.46	16.3	14.1	2.16
DeMarre Carroll	66	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-10	25	15.1	14.9	0.22	15.7	15.2	0.51
Kent Bazemore	35	34	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-5	15	14.1	15.6	-1.58	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Al Horford	71	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	4	-3	15.5	13.6	1.97	15.9	14.8	1.07
Kyle Korver	72	72	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	3	-1	15.0	15.2	-0.22	15.8	14.8	1.07
Dennis Schroder	38	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	5	-5	15.2	15.0	0.18	15.7	15.5	0.23
Pero Antic	29	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	1	3	12.9	16.0	-3.05	13.8	16.3	-2.50
Jeff Teague	60	57	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	7	-9	15.7	14.0	1.67	15.9	15.2	0.69
Elton Brand	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	7	-9	0.0	15.1	-15.05	10.0	15.7	-5.65
Mike Scott	25	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.12	-10	15	-25	16.5	14.5	1.94	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Shelvin Mack	14	15	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	15	-25	14.6	15.1	-0.56	14.4	15.8	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 109, MIA 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.73,1	94.8%
DEN 92, NOH 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.72,0.76,0.84,1	93.4%
NOH 92, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.94,0.85,1	93.2%