NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	92		Excitement	7.6 [283]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (NOH): +11.5%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.7 [660]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -24.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	13	52%	0.12	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.07
Darius Songaila	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.06	0.03	21	47%	-0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Peja Stojakovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	15	35%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.25	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.25	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	13	33%	-0.08	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.01	16	66%	0.26	6	-0.16	6	83%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	12	60%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	13	47%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.05
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.00	9	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	7	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	14	46%	0.06	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	24.4	16.0	24.2	2.6	40.4	135.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +62.7%

NOH -2.1%

TOR +4.1%

NOH -11.9%

NOH -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	TOR	NBA	NOH	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	13.5	15.3	93.9	99.0	106.0
season	15.5	15.0		106.0	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		111.5	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.5	16.9	16.3	14.2	15.7
TOR	13.9	14.4	12.5	13.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	22	22	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-12	18	15.9	15.7	0.21	14.8	13.2	1.64
Darius Songaila	33	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-5	4	14.6	16.3	-1.66	14.5	13.1	1.41
Devin Brown	67	68	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.25	6	-12	18	15.3	16.5	-1.19	13.3	14.0	-0.71
James Posey	41	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-2	-2	16.1	15.4	0.76	14.4	12.9	1.49
Peja Stojakovic	74	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-6	6	15.1	17.5	-2.38	13.5	13.7	-0.16
Marcus Thornton	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	2	-10	16.9	14.9	1.94	14.1	13.2	0.96
David West	70	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	2	-10	15.9	15.3	0.59	13.3	14.3	-1.03
Emeka Okafor	61	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	3	-12	16.4	14.6	1.78	12.6	15.0	-2.40
Chris Paul	83	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	6	-18	15.5	16.7	-1.22	13.3	15.1	-1.79

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	63	61	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.34	11	-5	16	13.3	14.0	-0.71	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Jarrett Jack	73	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-5	16	13.0	15.2	-2.18	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Chris Bosh	80	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	-1	8	13.0	15.8	-2.78	15.7	15.7	-0.06
Andrea Bargnani	73	73	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	2	2	13.6	13.3	0.37	16.2	14.3	1.86
DeMar DeRozan	42	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	-1	8	13.0	14.0	-0.99	16.6	15.1	1.52
Amir Johnson	45	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	5	-4	14.3	12.9	1.44	15.0	16.3	-1.38
Hedo Turkoglu	77	77	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	9	-12	13.6	13.5	0.06	15.9	14.9	1.02
Marcus Banks	26	27	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	11	-16	15.2	13.0	2.18	15.8	15.7	0.15
Marco Belinelli	16	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	9	-12	16.0	13.1	2.93	13.1	16.2	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.94,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 91, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.72,1	93.2%
WAS 109, MIA 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.73,1	93.1%
LAL 84, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.9%