NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	84		Excitement	6.2 [578]		MVP	John Starks (UTA): +4.9%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	1.4 [505]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -18.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jelani McCoy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	21	55%	-0.04	3	-0.08	9	22%	-0.15
Robert Horry	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	9	28%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	19	52%	-0.02	5	-0.17	12	92%	0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	6	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Jarron Collins	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.09	-0.01	13	59%	0.14	6	-0.14	13	92%	0.06
DeShawn Stevenson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	12	63%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.01	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	11	18%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.5	30.8	19.0	29.2	3.3	38.3	152.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +11.8%

UTA +25.0%

LAL -15.3%

UTA +24.0%

UTA +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.6	90.3	98.9	102.3
season	15.3	16.1		106.9	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	14.0	17.7	13.7	15.2
UTA	15.8	15.4	15.0	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-8	8	24.0	15.1	8.93	14.0	15.8	-1.83
Mitch Richmond	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-5	2	18.2	14.8	3.43	13.6	16.1	-2.55
Jelani McCoy	5	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	-3	-2	21.4	14.8	6.59	15.2	15.8	-0.58
Robert Horry	70	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-12	16	13.8	19.3	-5.56	16.5	13.7	2.83
Lindsey Hunter	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	0	-8	17.4	13.9	3.46	16.0	15.7	0.25
Rick Fox	37	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-4	0	15.9	14.7	1.26	16.3	15.5	0.77
Devean George	61	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-11	14	14.6	16.3	-1.71	15.7	15.9	-0.16
Mark Madsen	29	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	1	-10	17.5	14.1	3.37	14.3	16.5	-2.27
Derek Fisher	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-8	8	13.9	17.4	-3.46	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Shaquille O'Neal	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	15.0	16.1	-1.06	16.0	14.8	1.12
Kobe Bryant	77	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.16	-12	4	-16	14.8	16.7	-1.92	15.8	15.8	0.05

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	68	69	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.21	13	-5	18	16.3	14.5	1.81	15.4	14.3	1.12
Karl Malone	79	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	0	8	16.0	14.5	1.54	15.0	16.1	-1.16
Jarron Collins	46	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-1	10	16.2	15.5	0.68	16.6	13.6	3.02
Bryon Russell	56	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	2	4	17.2	13.7	3.54	14.5	16.3	-1.76
Rusty LaRue	21	21	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	-1	10	14.0	16.3	-2.33	17.7	14.4	3.24
Donyell Marshall	52	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	11	-14	15.0	16.9	-1.92	15.1	15.2	-0.09
John Stockton	72	72	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	9	-10	16.3	14.0	2.33	14.4	17.7	-3.24
Scott Padgett	20	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.12	8	0	8	14.8	16.1	-1.22	16.9	14.7	2.22
DeShawn Stevenson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	9	-10	5.7	16.1	-10.48	10.0	15.3	-5.27
John Starks	16	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	8	-8	13.7	16.2	-2.56	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Greg Ostertag	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	10	-12	20.0	15.8	4.24	17.0	15.1	1.86
John Amaechi	31	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	14	-20	15.1	16.2	-1.11	13.1	16.1	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.99,1	94.0%
ATL 109, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 87, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%