NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	7.5 [395]		MVP	Justise Winslow (MIA): +12.6%
Miami Heat	115		Comeback	1.4 [948]		LVP	Tomas Satoransky (WAS): -5.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	25	54%	0.26	5	-0.18	11	82%	0.01
Sam Dekker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	14	48%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	44%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0	-0.02	-0.04	-0.06	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	19	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Chasson Randle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justise Winslow	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.10	0.01	9	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
James Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	65%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	13	68%	0.14	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	16	50%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	11	50%	0.08	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	12	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.5	2.3	26.6	14.4	25.6	2.4	32.6	136.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +37.7%

WAS -0.8%

MIA +12.2%

WAS -2.4%

MIA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	13.5	14.5	14.3	104.8	112.7	109.3
season	13.8	14.8		109.8	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		106.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	13.6	15.8	11.7	13.5
MIA	15.9	14.6	13.0	14.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chasson Randle	30	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-9	12	13.4	13.5	-0.15	13.9	14.7	-0.84
Sam Dekker	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-7	8	13.2	13.6	-0.47	14.9	14.3	0.69
Thomas Bryant	51	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-6	6	14.4	12.6	1.81	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Jeff Green	78	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-7	8	13.1	14.5	-1.42	14.6	14.3	0.30
Otto Porter Jr.	45	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-4	2	13.0	13.8	-0.79	14.9	14.2	0.69
Tomas Satoransky	73	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	2	-10	13.5	13.5	-0.06	14.3	14.9	-0.61
Ian Mahinmi	29	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	4	-14	14.0	13.3	0.78	14.6	14.5	0.09
Trevor Ariza	92	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	1	-8	13.5	13.3	0.16	14.3	15.7	-1.32
Bradley Beal	86	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	2	-10	13.5	13.6	-0.10	14.7	13.6	1.15

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	81	82	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.26	16	-10	26	13.6	18.0	-4.41	13.6	12.8	0.83
James Johnson	60	61	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-8	22	13.5	15.9	-2.39	13.8	13.1	0.68
Justise Winslow	66	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	0	6	14.6	14.3	0.26	13.5	13.4	0.08
Hassan Whiteside	61	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	1	4	14.9	13.9	1.04	13.9	12.8	1.14
Dwyane Wade	54	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	10	-14	14.9	14.1	0.83	12.9	14.0	-1.11
Rodney McGruder	39	43	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	-4	14	14.5	14.5	-0.06	14.6	12.7	1.85
Bam Adebayo	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	5	-4	13.9	14.9	-1.04	12.8	13.9	-1.14
Tyler Johnson	50	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	9	-12	15.1	14.0	1.10	13.5	13.4	0.06
Derrick Jones Jr.	41	42	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.23	-10	16	-26	15.9	13.5	2.39	13.0	13.8	-0.87
Kelly Olynyk	17	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	11	-16	15.7	14.3	1.45	11.6	13.8	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 91, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.72,1	94.8%
LAL 84, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.97,1,1	93.4%
CHI 95, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.9,1	93.2%