NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	10.1 [79]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +43.8%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	11.6 [153]		LVP	Markelle Fultz (ORL): -32.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amile Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	1	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Josh Magette	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Evan Fournier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01,-0.06	0.05	-0.12	-0.01	21	56%	0.08	3	-0.14	8	87%	-0.03
Terrence Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	16	50%	-0.00	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.07,-0.18,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	21	42%	0.07	3	-0.20	1	0%	-0.02
Wes Iwundu	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	25%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Markelle Fultz	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.32	-0.04	-0.26	0.03	13	50%	0.03	4	-0.35	4	75%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.44	0.44	0.09	0.36	0.01	15	67%	0.60	3	-0.16	6	100%	0.04
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.11	0.02	13	73%	0.26	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.10	-0.00	16	39%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.10	0.01	4	67%	0.02	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.05	-0.25	0.00	9	41%	-0.22	2	-0.07	9	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	27.5	14.7	26.5	1.8	34.5	131.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +51.1%

PHX +12.1%

ORL -44.4%

PHX +31.1%

PHX +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	13.9	14.2	97.9	101.0	109.6
season	14.7	14.1		107.1	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.2		110.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.6	18.9	14.5	16.2	15.9
PHX	13.2	13.9	14.9	13.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khem Birch	59	60	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.14	3	-7	10	16.3	15.3	1.04	13.8	14.1	-0.22
Josh Magette	32	32	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-3	2	17.7	15.0	2.72	15.3	13.2	2.13
Mo Bamba	26	27	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-3	2	18.1	15.1	2.93	15.9	13.2	2.68
Amile Jefferson	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	16.3	15.8	0.47	15.2	13.3	1.83
Evan Fournier	77	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.42	1	-5	6	15.9	16.0	-0.08	13.6	15.2	-1.62
Wes Iwundu	58	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	0	-4	15.3	16.9	-1.63	13.7	14.2	-0.52
Nikola Vucevic	70	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	-1	-2	15.1	18.1	-2.93	13.2	15.9	-2.68
Markelle Fultz	64	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	-1	-2	15.0	17.7	-2.72	13.2	15.3	-2.13
Terrence Ross	63	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.41	-9	5	-14	16.0	15.8	0.23	14.0	13.7	0.26

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	60	59	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.49	17	-13	30	14.0	13.8	0.13	16.6	14.9	1.66
Devin Booker	76	74	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.52	7	-3	10	13.5	15.5	-1.99	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Kelly Oubre Jr.	69	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-1	6	13.7	14.6	-0.92	16.0	15.7	0.34
Ricky Rubio	71	71	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-2	8	13.3	15.6	-2.27	16.1	15.5	0.62
Deandre Ayton	61	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	0	4	14.2	13.5	0.66	15.6	16.5	-0.94
Aron Baynes	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	4	-4	13.5	14.2	-0.66	16.5	15.6	0.94
Elie Okobo	26	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	6	-8	15.6	13.3	2.27	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Cameron Johnson	23	21	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.04	-5	9	-14	15.2	13.5	1.65	14.6	16.3	-1.69
Tyler Johnson	21	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.14	-3	7	-10	15.5	13.5	1.99	16.6	15.7	0.91
Dario Saric	42	42	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.16	-9	13	-22	13.6	14.2	-0.57	15.5	16.2	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.62,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.64,0.43,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.58,1	91.0%
UTA 125, MIN 128	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.38,0.53,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.31,0.55,0.55,0.42,1	89.9%
TOR 90, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.26,1	89.8%