NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	125		Excitement	10.9 [54]		MVP	Derrick Rose (MIN): +61.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	128		Comeback	3.5 [200]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): -34.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Exum	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26	0.06	0.19	-0.00	9	58%	0.26	0	0.00	6	83%	0.06
Donovan Mitchell	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.09	-0.01	24	51%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Jae Crowder	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	13	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.08
Derrick Favors	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.00	10	58%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grayson Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0,0.02,-0.08	0.11	-0.18	0.02	12	67%	0.04	1	-0.12	9	44%	-0.24
Joe Ingles	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	12	50%	-0.03	3	-0.16	2	0%	-0.07
Ricky Rubio	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	6	36%	-0.12	6	-0.22	2	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.07,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.62	0.62	0.20	0.43	0.02	31	68%	0.90	6	-0.28	11	73%	0.04
Josh Okogie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.01	5	77%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	7	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	17	54%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
C.J. Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Nunnally	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.11,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.11	-0.12	-0.00	17	67%	0.06	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.8	26.3	14.5	26.2	1.8	44.7	143.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +64.6%

MIN +3.4%

UTA -23.3%

MIN +4.1%

MIN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	14.3	13.2	14.3	120.2	121.9	109.3
season	14.3	14.4		109.3	110.2
opponent	14.0	14.3		111.8	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.4	14.2	14.7	15.1	14.3
MIN	11.4	13.0	15.3	13.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	15	17	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-8	13	13.4	14.5	-1.09	14.1	13.1	0.99
Joe Ingles	77	79	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-10	17	14.5	13.8	0.70	12.8	14.5	-1.74
Grayson Allen	16	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-3	3	16.0	14.0	1.97	12.7	13.3	-0.61
Ekpe Udoh	5	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	0	-3	16.0	14.3	1.75	11.3	13.3	-2.01
Royce O'Neale	37	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	0	-3	14.1	14.5	-0.44	14.2	12.7	1.51
Rudy Gobert	68	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.51	13	-16	29	15.1	12.9	2.26	13.9	12.0	1.89
Derrick Favors	54	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	4	-11	13.6	15.2	-1.59	12.8	13.7	-0.88
Dante Exum	54	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-3	3	14.8	13.9	0.88	13.0	13.5	-0.52
Donovan Mitchell	69	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	3	-9	13.7	15.5	-1.82	13.5	12.7	0.77
Jae Crowder	66	64	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.36	-14	11	-25	14.2	14.5	-0.26	12.9	13.8	-0.95
Ricky Rubio	59	60	-0.80	0.29	-1.09	-0.59	-7	4	-11	14.2	14.6	-0.43	13.3	13.2	0.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	81	81	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.53	12	-9	21	13.1	13.6	-0.46	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Derrick Rose	90	90	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-7	17	13.0	14.8	-1.83	14.0	16.7	-2.75
Karl-Anthony Towns	89	89	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-7	17	13.3	13.0	0.27	13.8	17.5	-3.66
Taj Gibson	52	52	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	0	3	13.6	12.9	0.73	14.7	14.0	0.67
Anthony Tolliver	53	52	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	3	-3	12.9	13.6	-0.73	14.0	14.7	-0.67
Andrew Wiggins	83	81	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.45	-9	12	-21	13.5	12.1	1.44	14.5	13.7	0.77
James Nunnally	46	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.16	3	0	3	12.9	13.5	-0.64	14.3	14.4	-0.14
Gorgui Dieng	16	15	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.00	-7	10	-17	13.0	13.3	-0.27	17.5	13.8	3.66
C.J. Williams	15	14	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	10	-17	14.8	13.0	1.83	16.7	14.0	2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.38,0.53,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.31,0.55,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 79, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.69,0.68,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.58,1	90.3%
NYK 86, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.73,1	89.9%
CHI 88, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.55,0.72,1	89.8%