NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	8.6 [203]		MVP	Brandon Goodwin (ATL): +20.8%
Washington Wizards	111		Comeback	4.2 [290]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -27.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Goodwin	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.05	0.14	-0.02	13	54%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.03	12	52%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
De'Andre Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	9	62%	0.10	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.03	11	70%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03
Trae Young	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.29,-0.25,-0.28,-0.29,-0.28	-0.17	-0.11	0.00	20	40%	-0.13	6	-0.15	8	62%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan McRae	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.10	-0.01	26	49%	0.21	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	85%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	12	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.00	11	48%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Anzejs Pasecniks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	15	29%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.04	-0.02	16	15%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	33.2	14.6	28.4	2.5	29.6	133.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -24.8%

WAS +3.6%

WAS +34.4%

WAS +33.5%

WAS +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	12.7	14.0	14.2	93.5	102.8	109.6
season	13.8	13.7		106.6	109.8
opponent	14.0	14.0		114.2	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	10.4	12.8	13.4	12.7
WAS	12.5	15.9	13.4	14.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	63	64	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.08	4	-14	18	13.1	12.0	1.17	13.3	15.0	-1.63
Allen Crabbe	32	33	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.13	0	-10	10	14.2	12.0	2.13	14.3	13.9	0.38
DeAndre' Bembry	39	38	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-14	18	11.7	13.2	-1.43	14.7	13.6	1.04
Brandon Goodwin	51	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-11	12	12.8	12.5	0.35	14.6	13.5	1.13
Cam Reddish	80	79	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-8	6	12.5	13.0	-0.51	14.1	13.9	0.20
Alex Len	54	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	12.6	12.7	-0.06	14.9	13.1	1.87
Vince Carter	21	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	2	-14	12.9	12.6	0.31	12.0	14.5	-2.47
Kevin Huerter	60	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	12.1	13.3	-1.18	13.7	14.4	-0.70
De'Andre Hunter	68	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	1	-12	12.7	12.5	0.25	14.0	14.0	-0.06
Trae Young	72	72	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.29	-19	9	-28	12.4	13.2	-0.85	13.8	14.5	-0.69

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	48	46	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.27	21	-11	32	13.9	14.1	-0.13	12.9	12.5	0.41
Troy Brown Jr.	78	77	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.25	13	-3	16	14.5	12.8	1.67	12.4	13.4	-1.02
Ish Smith	61	61	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.18	15	-5	20	14.4	13.5	0.96	12.5	12.9	-0.34
Jordan McRae	81	82	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	7	-4	14.1	13.6	0.56	12.6	12.8	-0.15
Ian Mahinmi	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	8	-6	14.2	13.8	0.43	11.6	14.2	-2.57
Anzejs Pasecniks	44	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	2	6	13.7	14.2	-0.55	14.3	11.5	2.76
Gary Payton II	52	53	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	8	-6	13.3	14.6	-1.28	12.6	12.7	-0.03
Isaac Bonga	41	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	12	-14	13.5	14.3	-0.88	12.8	12.6	0.25
Admiral Schofield	20	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.13	-3	13	-16	13.7	14.1	-0.32	14.5	12.3	2.20
Isaiah Thomas	52	53	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.02	-9	19	-28	13.9	14.1	-0.17	12.3	13.0	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.53,0.75,0.93,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.39,0.68,0.96,0.89,0.85,1	93.2%
GSW 88, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.53,0.68,0.89,0.94,1,1	91.6%
SEA 105, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.91,0.99,1	91.3%