NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	123		Excitement	9.7 [108]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +76.1%
Dallas Mavericks	120		Comeback	24.2 [25]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -12.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.76	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.76	0.22	0.53	-0.01	15	81%	0.77	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33	0.09	0.25	0.01	12	79%	0.40	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.14,0.22	0.09	0.16	0.04	17	63%	0.29	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.08
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.03	0.04	3	64%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Cody Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	52%	0.09	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Miles Bridges	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	11	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Malik Monk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	30%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.51,0.56	0.56	0.16	0.41	0.02	14	80%	0.62	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.14	-0.03	12	62%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.13	0.01	8	67%	0.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	65%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Josh Reaves	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	12	46%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	0.07	-0.18	0.02	32	56%	-0.01	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	27.8	14.7	27.7	2.0	30.2	2.4	19.7	149.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +12.1%

CHA +39.8%

CHA +14.1%

DAL -24.9%

CHA +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DAL	NBA	CHA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	14.2	121.8	117.6	109.6
season	15.1	14.5		105.4	115.2
opponent	14.1	14.7		111.3	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	14.5	15.4	17.1	15.5	12.7	15.3
DAL	15.5	18.9	13.6	17.2	14.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	74	73	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.67	0	3	-3	15.1	15.9	-0.77	16.9	13.8	3.04
Devonte' Graham	85	84	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.52	4	-1	5	14.7	18.6	-3.84	16.3	14.8	1.48
Miles Bridges	66	68	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.65	-1	4	-5	15.7	14.7	1.02	16.2	15.5	0.75
Terry Rozier	79	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.55	-3	6	-9	15.1	16.2	-1.15	16.7	13.4	3.30
Dwayne Bacon	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	-2	7	15.7	15.0	0.64	15.0	16.9	-1.90
Marvin Williams	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.17	8	-5	13	15.5	15.2	0.27	13.8	16.9	-3.13
Bismack Biyombo	73	70	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	10	-17	15.2	15.8	-0.64	16.2	15.5	0.77
Cody Martin	1	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	5	-7	2.0	15.5	-13.46	8.0	16.2	-8.16
Cody Zeller	25	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.24	7	-4	11	16.3	15.0	1.32	15.9	16.0	-0.10
Malik Monk	27	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.22	4	-1	5	16.9	14.7	2.18	14.5	16.6	-2.12

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Jackson	54	53	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.15	7	-10	17	17.0	14.9	2.16	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Jalen Brunson	27	26	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.22	3	-6	9	14.9	16.4	-1.46	17.7	14.5	3.24
J.J. Barea	63	65	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.34	12	-15	27	16.4	15.4	0.95	14.9	16.1	-1.13
Boban Marjanovic	7	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	5	-13	12.3	16.3	-3.99	13.2	15.5	-2.30
Delon Wright	13	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	7	-17	15.8	16.0	-0.18	16.5	15.2	1.37
Dwight Powell	74	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-7	11	15.9	16.2	-0.34	16.0	13.4	2.62
Seth Curry	50	49	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	5	-13	15.0	17.0	-2.00	15.4	15.3	0.12
Dorian Finney-Smith	72	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.65	4	-7	11	16.7	14.4	2.22	14.8	16.9	-2.13
Luka Doncic	86	82	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.45	-5	2	-7	15.7	17.9	-2.22	15.4	15.2	0.21
Maxi Kleber	64	65	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.51	-12	9	-21	16.3	15.5	0.84	14.6	16.7	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, NYK 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	87.6%
MIN 97, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	87.3%
POR 100, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.78,0.97,1,1	87.2%