NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	5.8 [660]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +26.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	7.3 [538]		LVP	Tim Frazier (POR): -6.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.02	11	61%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	19	63%	0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	45%	0.07	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.03
Damian Lillard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.09	27	60%	0.08	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Tim Frazier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.13	0.03	24	63%	0.33	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	12	71%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.05	0.02	10	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	12	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	10	80%	-0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	32.2	15.4	26.5	2.4	40.2	140.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.9%

CLE +3.3%

POR -11.6%

CLE +32.7%

CLE +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	16.9	14.9	109.9	118.0	105.1
season	15.0	15.8		107.1	110.3
opponent	14.9	14.6		103.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.0	14.2	17.0	14.3	15.1
CLE	19.2	16.5	16.5	15.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	20	21	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.16	9	-14	23	13.9	15.4	-1.52	19.4	16.2	3.27
Meyers Leonard	31	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-4	3	16.0	14.6	1.43	17.3	16.8	0.52
Mason Plumlee	41	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-10	15	14.3	15.7	-1.45	18.4	15.6	2.79
Maurice Harkless	39	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	1	-7	15.3	14.9	0.38	16.1	17.6	-1.49
CJ McCollum	70	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-9	13	15.0	15.4	-0.44	16.9	17.0	-0.15
Tim Frazier	10	10	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	4	-13	18.3	14.7	3.61	11.6	17.6	-6.01
Ed Davis	49	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	3	-11	15.9	14.2	1.67	15.3	18.7	-3.37
Al-Farouq Aminu	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	0	-5	14.4	16.4	-1.99	17.1	16.5	0.60
Allen Crabbe	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	1	-7	15.5	14.1	1.44	17.2	16.4	0.79
Damian Lillard	74	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	3	-11	14.7	16.9	-2.28	17.1	16.2	0.86

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	76	78	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	16.8	17.5	-0.71	14.9	16.1	-1.15
Tristan Thompson	37	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.13	10	-5	15	15.0	18.3	-3.35	14.8	15.3	-0.42
Matthew Dellavedova	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	1	3	17.4	15.3	2.09	15.2	14.7	0.58
Jared Cunningham	63	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	-2	9	16.8	17.2	-0.42	14.6	16.4	-1.80
Mo Williams	41	42	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.46	-2	7	-9	16.3	17.5	-1.14	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Richard Jefferson	37	38	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	-3	11	15.4	18.1	-2.71	15.8	14.6	1.20
J.R. Smith	46	46	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	-2	9	17.4	16.4	0.95	15.5	14.6	0.88
Kevin Love	54	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	9	-13	18.3	14.9	3.42	15.3	14.8	0.56
Anderson Varejao	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	5	-5	17.5	16.9	0.64	17.1	14.8	2.28
Timofey Mozgov	13	13	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.14	-12	17	-29	19.9	16.4	3.50	13.8	15.3	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.78,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIN 97, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
DEN 91, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.0%