NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	5.6 [555]		MVP	Steve Novak (NYK): +40.2%
New York Knicks	120		Comeback	7.5 [467]		LVP	Landry Fields (NYK): -6.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	72%	0.08	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	90%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Luke Harangody	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.02	-0.06	9	27%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Omri Casspi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Semih Erden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tristan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	20	49%	0.06	3	-0.09	7	43%	-0.06
Ramon Sessions	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.08	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	18	55%	0.02	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.17	0.23	-0.00	9	94%	0.40	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	16	59%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	7	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.02	0.04	12	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	11	48%	0.04	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.07	10	52%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	33.3	18.3	28.6	2.5	31.4	143.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +15.1%

CLE -4.2%

NYK +24.4%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	13.1	15.6	106.2	122.4	102.8
season	15.5	14.9		99.5	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.5	18.2	15.1	17.4	16.4
NYK	12.8	15.2	10.6	14.7	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samardo Samuels	15	14	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-19	21	15.0	16.7	-1.70	12.2	13.3	-1.06
Anthony Parker	39	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.13	-7	-10	3	15.2	17.3	-2.10	12.4	13.6	-1.18
Omri Casspi	44	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-11	5	15.5	17.2	-1.75	12.5	13.6	-1.09
Semih Erden	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-10	3	14.5	16.9	-2.44	12.6	13.2	-0.61
Luke Harangody	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-17	17	20.6	15.6	4.95	16.6	12.5	4.11
Ramon Sessions	33	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-12	7	18.2	15.5	2.70	12.8	13.3	-0.50
Tristan Thompson	57	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-12	7	16.9	15.8	1.08	13.5	12.5	1.06
Kyrie Irving	70	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.20	-19	2	-21	16.1	17.4	-1.30	13.2	12.8	0.42
Antawn Jamison	81	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.12	-17	0	-17	15.6	20.6	-4.95	12.5	16.6	-4.11
Alonzo Gee	53	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-6	-5	17.2	15.5	1.75	13.6	12.5	1.09
Daniel Gibson	58	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-7	-3	17.3	15.2	2.10	13.6	12.4	1.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	40	38	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	2	13	12.3	13.7	-1.43	18.8	14.9	3.96
Steve Novak	35	34	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.13	14	3	11	12.1	13.7	-1.57	18.4	15.4	2.96
Jared Jeffries	40	39	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	3	11	12.5	13.6	-1.09	17.7	15.6	2.15
Iman Shumpert	45	44	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	3	11	13.1	13.2	-0.06	16.4	16.5	-0.09
Baron Davis	29	27	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	13	-9	12.7	13.3	-0.61	18.4	15.7	2.74
Jeremy Lin	69	70	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.18	13	4	9	13.3	12.7	0.61	15.7	18.4	-2.74
Carmelo Anthony	70	70	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.16	11	6	5	13.5	12.2	1.27	15.7	18.4	-2.74
Tyson Chandler	64	64	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.12	5	12	-7	13.6	12.3	1.31	15.6	18.1	-2.56
Amar'e Stoudemire	57	57	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	18	-19	13.8	12.2	1.64	15.3	18.0	-2.67
Landry Fields	41	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	21	-25	13.2	13.1	0.12	15.6	17.0	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIN 97, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
LAC 105, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%