NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	5.6 [724]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): +25.2%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	4.7 [497]		LVP	Rasual Butler (LAC): -8.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	8	87%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	3	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.05	-0.04	16	48%	0.09	3	-0.05	14	57%	-0.06
Ike Diogu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	80%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	86%	0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.08	6	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	15	66%	0.18	7	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Foye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.08	9	71%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	2	43%	0.01	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Rasual Butler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.23	0.04	0.02	12	89%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.14	0.01	22	61%	0.25	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.02	0.03	5	100%	0.20	2	-0.04	11	100%	0.04
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.02	7	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	15	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	11%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.4	2.4	32.4	17.6	26.3	2.4	32.5	145.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +5.9%

DAL +15.0%

DAL +2.8%

DAL +27.0%

LAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.5	115.4	121.7	105.7
season	15.4	15.7		104.4	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.6	14.2	17.6	17.3	15.8
DAL	15.4	14.6	13.7	19.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	25	25	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.26	13	-20	33	14.5	16.3	-1.75	16.4	15.4	0.98
Ryan Gomes	59	60	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	15.5	16.3	-0.80	15.2	16.6	-1.44
Eric Bledsoe	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-17	27	14.9	16.3	-1.36	15.6	15.7	-0.19
Rasual Butler	40	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-3	-1	14.4	16.8	-2.39	15.2	16.0	-0.85
Randy Foye	51	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-4	1	16.8	14.4	2.39	16.0	15.2	0.85
Blake Griffin	68	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	4	-15	16.5	13.7	2.80	14.9	17.6	-2.69
Brian Cook	30	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-7	7	14.8	16.3	-1.48	17.2	14.8	2.41
DeAndre Jordan	51	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.04	-17	10	-27	16.4	15.0	1.46	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Al-Farouq Aminu	40	41	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	1	-9	15.7	15.8	-0.12	16.3	15.2	1.10
Baron Davis	59	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	10	-27	16.3	14.9	1.36	15.7	15.6	0.19

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	48	46	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.03	22	-15	37	14.9	16.5	-1.56	15.5	16.0	-0.50
Jason Terry	72	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-6	19	15.7	15.8	-0.15	15.2	17.8	-2.64
Shawn Marion	57	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-2	11	16.0	15.1	0.92	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Jose Juan Barea	63	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	1	5	15.5	16.0	-0.51	16.0	15.4	0.60
Jason Kidd	63	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	8	-9	16.0	14.9	1.10	16.3	14.8	1.53
DeShawn Stevenson	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	5	-3	15.3	15.9	-0.60	16.7	15.2	1.50
Dirk Nowitzki	59	59	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	4	-1	15.1	16.7	-1.53	15.7	16.0	-0.37
Ian Mahinmi	18	17	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	9	-11	16.5	15.5	1.01	14.5	16.1	-1.55
Sasha Pavlovic	14	14	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	14	-21	17.5	15.4	2.14	15.6	15.8	-0.26
Tyson Chandler	31	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	17	-27	16.1	15.5	0.57	16.7	15.3	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
ATL 99, BOS 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
DET 94, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	93.4%