NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	8.3 [234]		MVP	Justin Holiday (IND): +22.1%
Atlanta Hawks	116		Comeback	2.0 [279]		LVP	Aaron Holiday (IND): -44.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.06	0.01	9	90%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2	0.15	0.07	0.02	15	76%	0.26	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	52%	0.02	0	0.00	11	82%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	10	46%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
T.J. Warren	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	14	49%	-0.06	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.06
Aaron Holiday	-0.45	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.38,-0.45	-0.12	-0.33	-0.00	19	36%	-0.28	3	-0.16	6	83%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.12	0.00	8	80%	0.26	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	-0.01	18	68%	0.30	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	6	71%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	4	80%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.18	-0.09	0.08	23	68%	0.13	4	-0.12	14	86%	0.02
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	7	21%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	27.4	14.7	32.5	1.8	45.4	151.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +71.2%

IND -0.2%

IND -9.8%

IND -17.3%

ATL +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.7	14.2	112.1	118.4	109.6
season	14.4	13.8		108.7	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.4		113.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	14.2	15.0	14.4	14.6
ATL	14.7	16.4	12.7	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Edmond Sumner	33	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-8	11	14.3	14.7	-0.36	16.3	13.8	2.50
Justin Holiday	60	58	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-5	5	14.3	15.0	-0.66	15.7	13.1	2.56
T.J. McConnell	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-3	1	14.5	14.6	-0.11	16.0	14.0	1.97
T.J. Warren	74	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-2	-1	14.3	15.3	-0.94	14.2	16.0	-1.77
Doug McDermott	37	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-5	5	15.2	14.2	0.94	15.6	14.1	1.45
Myles Turner	66	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	1	-7	14.4	14.9	-0.45	14.0	16.1	-2.11
Aaron Holiday	67	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	1	-7	14.7	14.2	0.48	14.1	15.8	-1.75
Jeremy Lamb	55	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	1	-7	14.6	14.6	-0.03	13.4	16.2	-2.84
Domantas Sabonis	71	70	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.51	-5	0	-5	14.9	13.8	1.10	14.6	14.9	-0.32

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	85	85	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-3	11	14.7	14.7	-0.03	14.1	17.3	-3.16
De'Andre Hunter	62	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	2	1	14.4	15.1	-0.71	14.6	14.5	0.05
Vince Carter	36	39	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	-2	9	14.7	14.6	0.09	13.2	15.5	-2.35
DeAndre' Bembry	52	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	0	5	14.9	14.4	0.51	14.7	14.4	0.29
Alex Len	57	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	-3	11	14.3	15.1	-0.79	14.3	14.9	-0.64
Trae Young	76	78	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	-1	7	14.2	16.4	-2.25	14.4	15.4	-1.02
Brandon Goodwin	26	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	5	-5	15.2	14.5	0.72	15.4	14.3	1.10
Bruno Fernando	42	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	4	-3	15.7	13.9	1.84	15.8	13.6	2.18
Damian Jones	20	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	7	-9	13.0	15.1	-2.09	15.8	14.3	1.51
Allen Crabbe	34	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	16	-27	15.7	14.1	1.55	15.2	14.3	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.72,0.55,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	91.2%
ORL 102, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.81,0.93,0.97,1,1	90.4%
PHX 92, MEM 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.98,0.95,1	90.2%