NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	106		Excitement	8.9 [181]		MVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): +13.0%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	4.7 [703]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -28.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	8	69%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	80%	0.14	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	17	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Len	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	7	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.09
Cam Reddish	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.01,0.08,-0.1,-0.28	0.00	-0.35	-0.07	23	54%	-0.10	6	-0.19	6	83%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.02	12	54%	0.21	1	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.01	11	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	18	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Romeo Langford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremont Waters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.13,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.11	-0.01	13	67%	0.23	6	-0.31	10	70%	-0.10
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	16	31%	-0.08	1	-0.05	10	90%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	27.6	14.4	27.5	2.4	32.6	133.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.3%

BOS +1.5%

BOS +28.9%

ATL -14.6%

ATL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.1	13.9	14.2	101.9	106.9	109.6
season	13.8	14.5		106.6	112.0
opponent	14.4	14.0		105.8	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	14.3	16.3	12.5	14.1
BOS	16.0	12.4	14.3	13.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Parker	30	29	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-7	11	15.7	13.4	2.23	14.6	13.6	1.03
DeAndre' Bembry	29	27	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-7	11	14.9	13.8	1.09	14.6	13.6	0.92
John Collins	50	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	3	-9	13.6	14.6	-1.00	13.5	14.2	-0.72
Alex Len	46	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.40	9	-12	21	14.4	13.8	0.64	14.7	13.3	1.40
Cam Reddish	56	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-4	5	13.0	15.3	-2.26	13.9	13.9	0.05
Brandon Goodwin	28	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	5	-13	15.3	13.6	1.70	12.6	14.3	-1.70
Bruno Fernando	8	8	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	3	-9	15.2	14.0	1.27	11.7	14.1	-2.31
Trae Young	80	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-7	11	13.6	15.8	-2.23	14.3	12.5	1.81
Allen Crabbe	50	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	7	-17	15.3	12.9	2.43	13.6	14.1	-0.49
De'Andre Hunter	57	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	0	-3	13.7	14.5	-0.75	14.0	13.7	0.28
Kevin Huerter	86	86	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	1	-5	13.5	16.8	-3.33	13.5	16.1	-2.59

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	80	81	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.51	8	-5	13	13.8	14.3	-0.50	13.8	15.2	-1.41
Marcus Smart	78	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	0	3	13.4	15.4	-2.01	13.6	15.7	-2.08
Daniel Theis	55	56	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	3	-3	13.5	14.4	-0.93	13.1	15.2	-2.06
Jayson Tatum	80	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	7	-11	14.1	13.2	0.89	13.7	15.3	-1.63
Brad Wanamaker	46	46	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	0	3	14.4	13.4	0.97	15.3	13.1	2.20
Jaylen Brown	75	76	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.44	-10	13	-23	13.9	13.9	-0.01	14.1	14.1	-0.09
Enes Kanter	47	48	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	0	3	14.4	13.5	0.93	15.2	13.1	2.06
Grant Williams	32	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.14	8	-5	13	14.4	13.6	0.76	15.4	13.5	1.90
Tremont Waters	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	-1	5	12.4	14.0	-1.64	14.7	14.0	0.65
Romeo Langford	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	3	-3	14.0	13.9	0.13	12.9	14.2	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.79,0.69,0.73,1	91.9%
BOS 99, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.92,1	91.1%
TOR 96, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.74,1	91.1%