NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	7.4 [359]		MVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): +34.2%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	3.5 [714]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -7.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.34	0.05	0.23	-0.05	7	64%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.06,0.07	-0.04	0.09	-0.02	21	52%	0.16	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.03	0.03	15	51%	0.00	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	62%	0.14	5	-0.14	12	75%	0.03
Joey Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34	0.34	0.11	0.24	0.01	10	72%	0.36	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.28	0.28	0.02	0.24	-0.02	8	61%	0.38	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.10
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.19	0.19	-0.04	0.22	-0.01	12	56%	0.35	5	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	3	90%	0.17	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.04
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	10	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	32.1	16.3	27.5	1.8	35.0	139.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +16.3%

NYK +52.2%

TOR -0.1%

TOR -20.8%

NYK +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.6	103.2	110.1	104.4
season	15.6	15.7		107.3	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		108.7	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	14.5	17.2	16.5	15.8
NYK	16.3	14.9	14.7	17.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-2	2	13.5	15.9	-2.42	18.5	15.7	2.80
Darrick Martin	3	2	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.07	3	-5	8	8.0	16.0	-8.02	5.0	16.1	-11.14
Pape Sow	14	12	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	0	-2	14.7	15.9	-1.24	18.2	15.5	2.73
Eric Williams	20	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-1	0	15.3	15.9	-0.53	15.2	16.1	-0.83
Loren Woods	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	0	-2	14.3	15.9	-1.60	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Matt Bonner	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-6	10	15.6	15.8	-0.19	17.3	15.2	2.11
Jose Calderon	35	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	9	-20	14.7	16.4	-1.73	16.6	15.5	1.14
Antonio Davis	72	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-4	6	16.1	14.6	1.54	15.5	17.3	-1.82
Mike James	73	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-1	0	16.3	13.7	2.63	15.8	16.3	-0.56
Morris Peterson	80	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-1	0	15.6	16.8	-1.26	15.6	17.6	-2.00
Charlie Villanueva	41	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-2	2	17.2	14.6	2.56	15.7	16.1	-0.40
Chris Bosh	84	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.49	-1	-1	0	15.8	15.7	0.11	15.8	17.2	-1.50

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	83	86	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	-3	8	15.6	19.8	-4.23	16.0	12.7	3.30
Jalen Rose	46	49	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	16.2	15.5	0.68	16.9	14.5	2.44
Jamal Crawford	62	66	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	-1	4	15.3	17.3	-1.97	16.3	14.4	1.91
David Lee	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	-6	14	16.8	15.2	1.63	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Eddy Curry	70	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	3	-4	15.7	16.7	-1.01	15.8	15.6	0.21
Nate Robinson	40	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	-2	6	15.7	16.0	-0.25	14.0	17.1	-3.14
Malik Rose	34	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.40	-6	8	-14	15.5	16.1	-0.67	16.2	15.5	0.75
Maurice Taylor	12	13	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-1	4	16.2	15.8	0.42	16.0	15.7	0.27
Channing Frye	30	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	5	-8	16.2	15.7	0.52	14.7	16.3	-1.69
Qyntel Woods	31	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	7	-12	16.9	15.4	1.51	14.9	16.2	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, CHH 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.36,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.77,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.99,0.96,1	92.3%
ATL 88, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.84,1	91.8%
HOU 93, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.98,1,1	91.5%