NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	8.0 [224]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +25.8%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	4.7 [92]		LVP	Ray Allen (BOS): -22.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	18	67%	0.27	6	-0.16	9	78%	0.01
Eddie House	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	6	46%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	5	67%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.04
Glen Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	5	27%	-0.01	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	14	53%	0.01	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	6	46%	0.02	5	-0.15	1	0%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.14,-0.22	0.01	-0.15	0.09	21	51%	-0.07	3	-0.15	5	60%	-0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.11	-0.00	26	62%	0.35	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	15	53%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	87%	0.18	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	54%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	55%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	4	38%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	20%	-0.06
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.3	32.1	16.3	27.5	0.8	39.5	147.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +16.1%

GSW +6.4%

GSW +2.2%

GSW +23.1%

GSW +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	13.1	15.3	96.1	96.3	106.0
season	15.5	13.4		105.7	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.7		110.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.0	14.3	16.7	14.6	14.3
GSW	14.6	10.5	12.3	15.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	63	65	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.17	7	-11	18	13.5	15.7	-2.24	13.2	12.9	0.32
Glen Davis	24	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	2	-8	14.0	14.4	-0.38	11.0	13.8	-2.75
Kendrick Perkins	60	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-7	10	14.7	13.7	1.01	13.5	12.6	0.86
Rasheed Wallace	46	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-1	-2	13.7	14.9	-1.23	12.6	13.5	-0.90
Brian Scalabrine	13	14	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	5	-14	14.7	14.3	0.41	14.2	13.0	1.26
Kevin Garnett	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-5	6	14.6	13.9	0.68	13.4	12.6	0.87
Ray Allen	93	96	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-5	6	14.6	11.8	2.80	13.3	11.3	2.06
Rajon Rondo	99	103	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.44	0	-4	4	14.3	15.5	-1.22	13.3	8.5	4.80
Eddie House	50	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.22	-14	10	-24	14.9	13.8	1.03	12.6	13.7	-1.07

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	85	80	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.21	20	-16	36	12.4	15.9	-3.51	14.8	12.7	2.16
Anthony Morrow	66	61	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.19	15	-11	26	12.0	14.9	-2.89	14.2	14.5	-0.37
Monta Ellis	107	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	13.1	0.0	13.12	14.3	0.0	14.33
Ronny Turiaf	61	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-5	14	12.7	13.7	-0.97	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Vladimir Radmanovic	42	39	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	-7	18	11.2	14.4	-3.18	15.6	13.6	1.99
Corey Maggette	73	71	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	8	-12	13.5	12.3	1.17	13.5	16.2	-2.74
Anthony Randolph	47	47	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.38	-9	13	-22	15.5	11.3	4.22	14.8	13.9	0.84
Chris Hunter	3	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	9	-14	13.0	13.1	-0.13	19.7	14.1	5.64
Andris Biedrins	29	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	9	-14	14.6	12.6	1.96	14.7	14.2	0.58
Stephen Curry	22	23	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.18	-16	20	-36	15.9	12.4	3.51	12.7	14.8	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.97,0.96,1	94.6%
DAL 89, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.94,0.93,1,1,1	93.4%
PHI 89, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.81,0.94,0.95,1	93.1%