NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	7.4 [380]		MVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): +20.4%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	2.8 [266]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -14.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	19	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.01	0.06	13	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	21	52%	0.01	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	3	-0.12	6	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	-0.01	14	61%	0.20	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	16	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.06	0.04	12	59%	0.11	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.06
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.05
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	27%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	16	53%	0.03	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	10	54%	-0.01	3	-0.11	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	24.6	14.7	26.0	2.7	37.0	132.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +45.5%

PHI -15.4%

ORL +15.3%

PHI -2.6%

ORL +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.4	13.9	14.2	95.1	96.1	109.6
season	14.8	14.7		110.0	107.1
opponent	14.2	14.1		108.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	13.4	14.4	15.0	14.4
ORL	15.5	14.8	12.3	13.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	1	-3	16.2	13.5	2.67	16.7	12.6	4.04
Trey Burke	19	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	1	-3	11.6	15.0	-3.41	15.7	13.4	2.32
Al Horford	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-6	11	14.5	14.0	0.55	13.7	14.3	-0.63
Furkan Korkmaz	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	4	-9	14.1	14.5	-0.38	14.5	13.4	1.05
Mike Scott	30	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	2	-5	13.4	14.7	-1.30	14.9	13.4	1.45
Tobias Harris	78	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-1	1	14.6	13.4	1.22	13.9	13.7	0.27
Ben Simmons	83	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-2	3	15.0	11.6	3.41	13.4	15.7	-2.32
Josh Richardson	80	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-3	5	14.0	15.7	-1.75	13.2	16.2	-3.01
Joel Embiid	73	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	0	-1	14.0	15.2	-1.24	12.7	16.7	-3.99

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	57	56	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-9	19	14.9	12.6	2.29	13.8	15.0	-1.18
Evan Fournier	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.43	1	0	1	12.6	17.1	-4.51	14.4	14.3	0.08
Nikola Vucevic	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	1	-1	12.7	16.7	-3.99	14.5	13.9	0.60
D.J. Augustin	48	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	-1	3	16.5	11.5	4.98	14.2	14.5	-0.35
Aaron Gordon	73	76	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.40	-2	3	-5	13.1	15.8	-2.67	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Markelle Fultz	61	61	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	2	-3	12.3	16.2	-3.91	15.2	13.1	2.02
Khem Birch	30	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	0	1	16.7	12.7	3.99	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Wes Iwundu	31	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	3	-5	16.5	12.7	3.83	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Jonathan Isaac	66	65	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	5	-9	13.6	14.4	-0.87	14.3	14.5	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.93,0.98,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	94.5%
DAL 84, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.1%
MIA 76, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1	93.5%