inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 93 Excitement10.0 [85] MVPDenzel Valentine (CHI): +22.8%
Chicago Bulls 92 Comeback10.5 [206] LVPZach LaVine (CHI): -50.5%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Norman Powell0.090,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.04,0.09,0.09-0.000.110.021647%0.111-0.03450%-0.03
Chris Boucher0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00462%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Malcolm Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0010%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Pascal Siakam-0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.021850%0.022-0.06875%-0.01
Kyle Lowry-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04-0.130.08-0.011531%0.012-0.05580%0.02
Serge Ibaka-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.001142%0.012-0.054100%0.03
Terence Davis-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00250%0.022-0.0900%0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.01743%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
OG Anunoby-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.05-0.00948%0.012-0.08367%-0.00
Marc Gasol-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.03-0.110.00764%0.021-0.1000%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Denzel Valentine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.050.18-0.001159%0.261-0.0300%0.00
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.230.230.110.120.00978%0.2300.0000%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00383%0.092-0.0800%0.00
Shaquille Harrison00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.030.02862%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.05-0.070.01867%0.092-0.12580%0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kris Dunn0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.090.00-0.01819%-0.071-0.0100%0.00
Lauri Markkanen0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.23,0.01,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.09-0.001443%0.012-0.14250%-0.01
Coby White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.17-0.05-0.0070%-0.133-0.0900%0.00
Zach LaVine0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.5-0.50-0.01-0.490.011847%-0.422-0.09771%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.625.314.728.22.533.8129.4
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +6.4%
TOR +13.4%
TOR +18.9%
TOR +5.2%
TOR +6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHINBATORCHINBA
this game13.814.614.291.291.1109.6
season14.014.1109.9105.3
opponent14.414.5108.2104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.813.010.116.113.8
CHI14.513.216.114.514.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol63630.88-0.381.250.5810-91913.514.2-0.7014.614.60.04
OG Anunoby78780.87-0.371.250.619-81713.415.0-1.5515.013.41.57
Norman Powell61600.86-0.361.210.628-71513.713.8-0.0914.514.7-0.13
Kyle Lowry83820.74-0.240.980.537-61313.415.4-2.0214.714.10.68
Pascal Siakam81820.490.010.490.4610114.112.61.5114.515.3-0.81
Malcolm Miller14140.020.48-0.46-0.0110112.713.9-1.2313.414.8-1.45
Terence Davis2625-0.250.75-0.99-0.07-67-1314.113.70.4614.114.8-0.64
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson3736-0.340.84-1.18-0.16-67-1313.314.1-0.7914.914.40.49
Serge Ibaka3938-0.380.88-1.25-0.11-910-1914.213.50.7014.614.6-0.04
Chris Boucher2827-0.400.90-1.29-0.10-1011-2116.012.93.0214.414.7-0.22

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thaddeus Young39400.35-0.851.200.128-91714.414.8-0.4014.213.50.66
Coby White64640.32-0.821.140.069-101914.614.60.0113.913.50.40
Kris Dunn31330.26-0.761.020.115-61114.614.60.0613.913.70.20
Daniel Gafford40400.03-0.530.57-0.4115-163114.914.40.4914.913.01.89
Ryan Arcidiacono89-0.08-0.420.340.04-43-714.514.6-0.1111.714.0-2.31
Denzel Valentine4647-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.440-1114.914.40.4914.113.50.58
Wendell Carter Jr.5353-0.530.03-0.56-0.06-1615-3114.814.40.3613.314.2-0.91
Tomas Satoransky8180-0.660.16-0.82-0.55-43-714.614.50.1314.012.91.16
Lauri Markkanen7071-0.880.38-1.26-0.61-98-1714.415.0-0.5213.215.0-1.81
Zach LaVine7373-0.900.40-1.30-0.63-98-1714.415.1-0.7513.414.8-1.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.65,0.5,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 114, PHI 1120.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.52,0.23,0.58,090.5%
WAS 88, DET 830.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.6,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.28,090.3%
HOU 103, WAS 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.26,090.2%