NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	114		Excitement	10.1 [60]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +59.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	5.8 [154]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -31.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.60	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.6	0.11	0.49	0.00	7	89%	0.65	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Allan Houston	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.22,0.24	0.17	0.05	-0.02	19	74%	0.45	2	-0.21	4	100%	0.05
Latrell Sprewell	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.22,0.17,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	24	62%	0.22	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.02	13	54%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	6	27%	-0.10	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.08

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.28	0.28	0.06	0.22	-0.00	8	83%	0.33	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.08
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.00	10	80%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.03	0.02	12	92%	0.24	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	70%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	-0.00	9	48%	-0.16	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.24
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.15,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.34,-0.32	-0.32	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	28	44%	-0.09	5	-0.23	12	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	2.0	28.2	15.4	23.5	2.5	42.5	134.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +56.1%

PHI -15.2%

NYK +8.0%

PHI -6.0%

NYK +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.5	117.5	116.7	101.6
season	15.6	15.3		102.6	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.9	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	14.9	15.4	13.8	14.9
PHI	15.0	13.9	16.6	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	75	73	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-8	18	14.6	16.0	-1.47	15.3	13.7	1.69
Latrell Sprewell	82	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.49	6	-4	10	14.8	15.7	-0.98	15.1	14.1	1.03
Allan Houston	80	79	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-6	14	14.8	15.4	-0.54	15.4	12.6	2.85
Clar. Weatherspoon	49	49	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.46	-1	3	-4	14.8	15.0	-0.18	14.1	15.8	-1.71
Charlie Ward	49	50	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.50	-3	5	-8	14.5	15.3	-0.84	13.9	16.1	-2.25
Howard Eisley	49	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	-5	12	15.1	14.7	0.31	15.9	14.0	1.87
Othella Harrington	50	49	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.12	5	-3	8	15.6	14.1	1.47	16.2	13.7	2.50
Michael Doleac	19	19	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	12	-22	15.3	14.8	0.44	13.4	15.3	-1.96
Shandon Anderson	32	33	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.00	-12	14	-26	15.5	14.6	0.93	13.0	15.9	-2.91

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd MacCulloch	21	22	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.02	5	-7	12	13.0	15.5	-2.42	16.5	14.5	2.00
Brian Skinner	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	0	-2	14.1	15.0	-0.89	15.2	14.9	0.37
Allen Iverson	88	90	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-3	4	15.0	13.9	1.16	14.9	14.9	0.05
Derrick Coleman	49	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	4	-10	16.3	13.5	2.84	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Greg Buckner	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-1	0	13.4	16.0	-2.53	15.6	14.5	1.10
Keith Van Horn	67	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-5	8	15.5	13.6	1.99	15.3	14.0	1.31
Kenny Thomas	67	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	2	-6	14.6	15.8	-1.23	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Aaron McKie	66	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.54	-1	-1	0	15.0	14.8	0.20	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Eric Snow	75	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.47	-5	3	-8	15.1	14.5	0.53	14.1	17.7	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.52,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 89, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.46,0.15,0.23,0	91.6%
LAL 104, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.23,0.58,0	91.1%
ORL 90, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.64,0.45,0.27,0	91.0%