NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	8.6 [166]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +14.4%
Detroit Pistons	83		Comeback	5.1 [128]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -18.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	74%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	4	25%	-0.02	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	7	48%	-0.04	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.06
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	20	45%	-0.05	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	14	48%	0.01	3	-0.14	16	69%	0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	14	57%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	87%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.2,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.13	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	6	71%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	13	53%	0.06	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.08
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	16	44%	-0.09	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	29.2	14.7	23.3	2.0	36.1	131.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -30.4%

WAS +31.7%

WAS +23.9%

WAS +26.1%

DET -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	16.3	16.0	15.5	97.8	94.3	101.6
season	16.5	16.8		100.9	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	18.4	15.9	14.3	16.3
DET	14.7	13.5	17.7	18.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	70	70	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.35	16	-11	27	16.2	16.6	-0.41	16.9	12.8	4.08
Jerry Stackhouse	72	71	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.30	13	-8	21	15.3	20.6	-5.28	16.2	15.1	1.12
Larry Hughes	69	66	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.42	9	-4	13	16.0	17.3	-1.30	16.5	14.5	1.97
Christian Laettner	56	56	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-7	19	15.2	18.2	-3.06	17.6	13.3	4.31
Brendan Haywood	73	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-4	13	16.2	16.9	-0.68	16.7	12.8	3.88
Charles Oakley	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	17.8	16.1	1.69	12.9	16.4	-3.52
Etan Thomas	15	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	11	-17	19.0	15.8	3.20	13.4	16.5	-3.17
Kwame Brown	23	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	13	-21	18.4	15.6	2.82	13.5	16.9	-3.42
Bryon Russell	32	29	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	14	-23	16.5	16.3	0.21	13.7	17.2	-3.48
Tyronn Lue	29	29	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.03	-12	17	-29	18.7	15.2	3.48	14.3	16.9	-2.55

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	31	33	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-11	17	15.3	16.4	-1.13	17.9	15.4	2.49
Hubert Davis	1	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-3	1	5.0	16.1	-11.15	1.0	16.7	-15.68
Zeljko Rebraca	22	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	3	-11	15.5	16.2	-0.64	18.7	15.4	3.30
Jon Barry	37	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.42	9	-14	23	16.3	15.8	0.52	17.2	15.6	1.58
Chauncey Billups	36	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	0	-5	16.4	15.8	0.57	16.1	16.5	-0.32
Ben Wallace	73	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-12	19	16.1	15.9	0.19	16.6	15.0	1.64
Chucky Atkins	52	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-5	5	15.8	16.4	-0.57	16.5	16.1	0.32
Michael Curry	41	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	8	-21	16.1	16.0	0.09	16.0	16.6	-0.59
Clifford Robinson	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	2	-9	16.3	13.6	2.64	15.7	21.5	-5.81
Richard Hamilton	67	69	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	7	-19	16.2	15.6	0.59	15.3	19.9	-4.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.6,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.59,0.61,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.1,0	91.7%
CLE 95, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.67,0.45,0.29,0.05,0.01,0	91.5%
LAL 105, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.23,0	91.3%