NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	8.2 [200]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +46.9%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	2.8 [560]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -27.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.47	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.47	0.00	0.45	-0.02	32	45%	0.52	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.12	-0.00	5	67%	0.18	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Trevor Ariza	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	7	100%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	6	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sun Yue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	9	46%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.00	12	72%	0.27	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Von Wafer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	14	82%	0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,0.15	0.15	-0.03	0.18	0.00	4	37%	0.23	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.03	5	90%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	18	51%	-0.00	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.05
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.28	-0.28	-0.06	-0.21	0.01	14	37%	-0.25	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.22

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	2.5	28.1	15.7	28.0	1.8	37.0	132.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +29.4%

LAL +17.3%

HOU -20.8%

LAL +23.7%

LAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	17.6	15.5	118.0	112.4	106.4
season	14.9	16.3		110.6	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.5	15.4	15.5	14.5	14.8
HOU	19.2	16.6	17.2	17.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	53	54	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-9	23	15.1	14.3	0.80	16.9	18.7	-1.78
Lamar Odom	52	51	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	-2	9	14.6	15.0	-0.38	16.7	18.8	-2.16
Pau Gasol	75	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	3	-1	14.7	15.3	-0.63	18.1	14.7	3.41
Derek Fisher	72	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	1	3	14.5	16.0	-1.54	17.5	17.9	-0.40
Kobe Bryant	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	8	-11	15.1	12.8	2.22	17.9	16.0	1.88
Josh Powell	24	23	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-2	9	14.8	14.7	0.05	17.1	17.8	-0.70
Andrew Bynum	51	49	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	7	-9	15.1	14.3	0.76	18.4	16.7	1.69
Sun Yue	5	6	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	3	-1	14.2	14.8	-0.59	17.0	17.7	-0.65
Vladimir Radmanovic	36	37	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	11	-17	14.2	15.1	-0.84	17.9	17.4	0.44

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	33	34	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-7	9	17.3	17.8	-0.43	15.2	14.5	0.73
Charles Hayes	22	22	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.12	-2	-3	1	17.3	17.7	-0.44	15.2	14.6	0.63
Luis Scola	45	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-2	-1	18.5	16.7	1.87	14.3	15.3	-1.02
Dikembe Mutombo	8	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-1	-3	17.0	17.7	-0.67	13.9	14.8	-0.96
Aaron Brooks	33	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	3	-11	16.7	18.1	-1.40	14.1	15.2	-1.10
Rafer Alston	61	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-4	3	17.5	17.9	-0.37	14.8	14.6	0.23
Von Wafer	72	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-4	3	17.2	19.4	-2.16	15.0	13.9	1.08
Shane Battier	56	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	18.3	16.4	1.88	14.5	15.1	-0.55
Yao Ming	59	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.53	1	-6	7	17.8	17.2	0.61	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Carl Landry	56	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	17.5	17.8	-0.29	15.2	14.1	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.23,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 108, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.09,0.09,0	93.8%
SAC 92, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.37,0.25,0.27,0	92.7%
CLE 99, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	92.6%