NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	9.2 [94]		MVP	Scot Pollard (SAC): +14.6%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	4.7 [438]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (ATL): -33.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	5	82%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	23	62%	0.19	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	9	44%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	11	37%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.00	8	61%	-0.01	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.05,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	16	38%	-0.09	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	15	22%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	6	21%	-0.09	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.08	0.00	12	83%	0.23	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	17	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.08
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	11	62%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	18	45%	-0.00	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.33	-0.33	-0.16	-0.23	-0.06	16	26%	-0.29	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.7	25.0	15.4	22.7	2.6	28.4	122.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +29.2%

ATL -12.4%

ATL -5.6%

SAC +42.3%

ATL -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ATL	NBA	SAC	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	15.6	91.1	90.1	102.3
season	14.2	15.5		106.6	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	13.8	12.6	17.6	14.5
ATL	10.3	14.4	15.1	17.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	44	43	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.48	15	-14	29	14.8	14.2	0.57	16.5	12.2	4.22
Doug Christie	81	81	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.59	3	-2	5	13.9	16.6	-2.71	14.1	13.8	0.24
Hedo Turkoglu	84	83	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-6	13	14.7	13.4	1.35	13.7	15.7	-2.05
Chris Webber	91	92	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.47	-3	4	-7	14.3	15.7	-1.36	14.2	12.9	1.26
Bobby Jackson	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	-9	19	14.3	14.7	-0.41	14.9	13.3	1.60
Mike Bibby	59	59	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.51	-13	14	-27	14.7	14.1	0.61	13.2	15.2	-1.93
Lawrence Funderburke	10	9	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	-3	7	15.7	14.3	1.36	12.9	14.2	-1.26
Gerald Wallace	32	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.12	-4	5	-9	15.1	14.2	0.91	15.1	13.5	1.52
Vlade Divac	57	58	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.01	-14	15	-29	14.2	14.8	-0.57	12.2	16.5	-4.22

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	64	63	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.03	5	-6	11	12.6	16.5	-3.95	13.5	16.1	-2.61
Alan Henderson	33	32	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.04	1	-2	3	13.4	14.4	-0.96	12.7	15.3	-2.62
Ira Newble	92	90	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-4	7	14.2	12.9	1.26	14.5	14.3	0.23
Hanno Mottola	17	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	6	-13	14.2	14.0	0.24	15.3	14.3	0.97
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	93	93	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.52	7	-8	15	14.1	13.9	0.18	14.5	14.2	0.24
Toni Kukoc	28	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	6	-13	15.9	13.3	2.56	14.7	14.4	0.38
Nazr Mohammed	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.45	1	-2	3	14.2	13.9	0.31	15.4	13.1	2.24
Jacque Vaughn	46	46	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.53	-3	2	-5	15.8	12.6	3.20	15.5	13.6	1.92
Jason Terry	72	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.51	-5	4	-9	13.5	15.4	-1.98	14.3	14.9	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.37,0.25,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 102, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.31,0.42,0	93.2%
LAL 105, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.23,0	92.7%
WAS 99, GSW 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.21,0.22,0.1,0	92.3%