NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	7.7 [275]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +28.8%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	2.0 [268]		LVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): -33.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.08	0.20	-0.00	6	100%	0.33	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	11	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Robert Traylor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.00	10	73%	0.11	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Cedric Henderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	59%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	12	57%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Gatling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	7	35%	-0.19	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.09

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	13	64%	0.07	1	-0.06	10	90%	0.06
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	13	61%	0.08	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	18	57%	-0.01	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	57%	0.06	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.22,-0.28,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.12	-0.24	-0.02	13	30%	-0.24	1	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	29.7	16.6	26.1	1.8	30.8	129.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +70.1%

NYK -19.8%

NYK -11.6%

CLE +10.4%

CLE +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	17.8	15.5	111.2	109.0	100.9
season	15.3	16.4		98.4	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		96.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.9	10.7	13.9	16.6	14.6
NYK	16.4	18.1	16.7	20.4	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	50	49	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.40	12	-10	22	14.2	15.0	-0.73	18.2	17.3	0.86
Cedric Henderson	16	15	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.49	3	-1	4	16.6	14.1	2.52	19.5	17.5	2.01
Robert Traylor	33	31	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-6	14	14.3	14.7	-0.46	20.3	16.4	3.87
Wesley Person	39	40	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	-6	14	15.7	13.6	2.10	18.6	17.1	1.46
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	4	-6	16.5	12.8	3.76	18.1	17.5	0.66
Chris Gatling	44	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-5	12	13.3	15.8	-2.50	17.9	17.7	0.13
Matt Harpring	74	74	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	5	-8	13.6	19.3	-5.74	17.7	18.4	-0.72
Clar. Weatherspoon	56	58	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.20	-6	8	-14	14.7	14.3	0.46	16.4	20.3	-3.87
Lamond Murray	49	49	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	6	-10	14.4	14.7	-0.34	16.8	19.0	-2.18
Andre Miller	42	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.16	-13	15	-28	14.3	14.8	-0.52	16.9	18.6	-1.65

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	64	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.49	11	-13	24	18.2	16.8	1.33	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Allan Houston	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.51	9	-11	20	17.3	21.5	-4.28	14.7	13.4	1.37
Chris Childs	20	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	9	-20	16.7	18.1	-1.35	13.4	14.9	-1.45
Marcus Camby	60	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-7	12	17.6	18.2	-0.61	15.7	12.2	3.49
Kurt Thomas	41	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	12	-26	18.1	17.5	0.65	14.8	14.4	0.49
Erick Strickland	30	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	11	-24	17.4	18.0	-0.65	15.0	14.3	0.71
Larry Johnson	75	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.49	2	-4	6	18.0	16.7	1.29	13.9	18.8	-4.94
Glen Rice	77	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.52	1	-3	4	18.2	15.0	3.23	14.2	17.5	-3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 108, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.09,0.09,0	93.2%
CHI 96, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.25,0.22,0.06,0.02,0	92.8%
LAL 105, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.23,0	92.6%