NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	7.0 [408]		MVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): +15.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	2.5 [344]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -19.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.05	0.03	10	78%	0.21	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Jimmy Butler	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	8	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.04	-0.04	0.09	0.01	17	49%	0.17	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.04
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.04	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Teague	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.04	0.02	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.04	13	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	31%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maalik Wayns	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	15	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	-0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	28	44%	0.01	5	-0.20	3	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.6	29.5	15.0	25.1	2.4	33.6	131.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +17.8%

CHI +27.6%

PHI -2.4%

CHI +8.7%

PHI -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	17.0	14.6	15.4	105.5	97.8	104.1
season	16.6	15.5		101.7	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.4	17.2	17.3	15.7	17.0
PHI	15.2	14.1	17.0	12.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	49	49	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.18	18	-11	29	16.6	17.5	-0.94	14.3	15.0	-0.73
Jimmy Butler	58	58	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.38	10	-3	13	16.6	17.8	-1.12	13.9	15.8	-1.81
Marquis Teague	39	39	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-4	15	16.6	17.4	-0.75	14.6	14.6	0.06
Joakim Noah	84	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-3	13	17.0	17.7	-0.73	14.4	17.5	-3.10
Luol Deng	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	-2	11	16.9	17.5	-0.58	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Marco Belinelli	55	55	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	14	-21	17.3	16.6	0.76	15.2	13.7	1.46
Nate Robinson	52	52	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	11	-15	17.4	16.6	0.75	14.6	14.6	-0.06
Carlos Boozer	47	46	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	19	-31	17.9	16.1	1.85	15.6	13.6	1.99

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	55	54	0.47	-0.97	1.44	0.06	14	-21	35	15.0	14.0	0.95	17.6	16.3	1.30
Dorell Wright	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-7	7	13.0	14.7	-1.68	18.0	17.0	1.01
Maalik Wayns	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-5	3	13.5	14.6	-1.13	14.5	17.1	-2.60
Jason Richardson	63	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-4	1	14.2	15.4	-1.19	16.7	17.7	-1.06
Arnett Moultrie	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	1	-9	14.2	14.6	-0.39	14.1	17.3	-3.20
Evan Turner	79	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-4	1	14.6	14.4	0.22	16.9	18.4	-1.52
Nick Young	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-1	-5	14.3	15.0	-0.68	16.8	17.4	-0.65
Spencer Hawes	58	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	-1	-5	13.9	15.9	-2.00	16.8	17.5	-0.78
Jrue Holiday	74	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.44	-7	0	-7	15.1	12.6	2.41	17.3	16.0	1.27
Thaddeus Young	59	60	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.34	-14	7	-21	15.2	13.5	1.70	17.8	15.6	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.25,0.22,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	92.8%
NYK 89, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.79,0.54,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.08,0.05,0	92.2%
ORL 102, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.39,0.11,0.03,0,0	91.4%