NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	7.8 [270]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +19.3%
Washington Bullets	99		Comeback	8.2 [93]		LVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): -24.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.19	0.06	0.14	-0.00	25	62%	0.32	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.03
Charles Barkley	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.05	0.13	0.00	16	66%	0.26	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.06
Matt Bullard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.01	4	112%	0.15	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.24	-0.10	-0.16	-0.01	7	14%	-0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	11	55%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	12	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.02
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	5	36%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.11,0.11,-0.08	-0.08	0.13	-0.20	0.01	12	92%	0.28	4	-0.36	2	0%	-0.06
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	16	32%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.02	-0.17	0.02	13	57%	-0.06	3	-0.15	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	21.4	15.5	23.4	2.2	33.6	120.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +10.1%

HOU +23.5%

HOU +20.6%

HOU +5.4%

WAS -9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	15.6	112.0	105.3	104.4
season	15.5	14.8		107.2	104.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		103.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.1	16.8	15.1	15.6	15.6
WAS	14.9	15.3	16.2	15.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakeem Olajuwon	72	75	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.44	13	-9	22	16.5	12.5	3.94	15.8	13.5	2.34
Mario Elie	71	74	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.47	10	-6	16	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.6	14.4	1.19
Matt Maloney	71	72	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-5	14	15.5	16.2	-0.73	15.9	13.6	2.22
Matt Bullard	38	39	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-2	8	15.2	15.9	-0.76	15.5	15.2	0.25
Charles Barkley	82	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-2	8	15.2	18.8	-3.56	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Tracy Moore	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	4	-4	14.6	15.8	-1.23	16.1	15.2	0.94
Randy Livingston	21	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	9	-14	16.2	15.5	0.73	13.6	15.9	-2.22
Kevin Willis	30	28	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.02	-11	15	-26	14.6	16.1	-1.48	14.2	15.8	-1.60
Clyde Drexler	60	60	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.12	-8	12	-20	16.2	14.6	1.54	14.7	16.4	-1.68

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	31	31	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.12	3	-7	10	15.0	15.5	-0.56	14.7	16.1	-1.39
Harvey Grant	32	33	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-7	10	16.2	14.9	1.28	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Chris Whitney	19	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-2	0	15.5	15.3	0.17	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Tracy Murray	30	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	0	-4	15.3	15.4	-0.11	14.9	16.0	-1.06
Gheorghe Muresan	63	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-5	6	15.1	15.8	-0.70	16.5	13.8	2.63
Juwan Howard	76	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.48	-3	-1	-2	15.1	16.2	-1.02	15.8	14.8	0.99
Rod Strickland	76	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.48	-3	-1	-2	15.1	16.2	-1.02	15.8	14.8	0.99
Chris Webber	81	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.36	-9	5	-14	15.4	15.0	0.40	15.4	16.6	-1.19
Calbert Cheaney	62	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.46	-6	2	-8	15.7	14.6	1.13	16.1	14.7	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 103, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.54,0.37,0.23,0.05,0	91.6%
MIN 95, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.59,0.61,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.1,0	91.0%
CLE 90, NYK 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.6,0.61,0.36,0.45,0.27,0	90.5%