NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	102		Excitement	10.1 [78]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): +41.8%
Brooklyn Nets	105		Comeback	3.0 [322]		LVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): -22.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.09	0.21	-0.00	8	94%	0.40	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.21	0.02	0.19	0.00	21	55%	0.29	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.27,0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Monte Morris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malik Beasley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	10	45%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	4	20%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Murray	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23	0.03	-0.23	0.03	17	55%	-0.19	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.42	0.42	0.07	0.35	-0.00	17	62%	0.50	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.11	0.11	-0.08	0.16	-0.02	13	32%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Dzanan Musa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Pinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	57%	0.14	2	-0.15	5	100%	0.03
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.03	15	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.02	-0.15	0.01	13	56%	-0.02	2	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	30.8	14.7	27.3	2.4	35.3	134.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +33.5%

BKN +14.9%

BKN +6.0%

DEN -2.8%

DEN -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	BKN	NBA	DEN	BKN	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	14.2	103.0	108.2	109.6
season	15.0	14.1		112.0	108.0
opponent	14.1	14.5		109.4	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.5	13.6	15.8	15.5	15.3
BKN	14.1	13.1	14.2	15.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Beasley	31	33	0.38	-0.88	1.27	0.00	13	-16	29	14.8	15.5	-0.71	15.7	13.3	2.40
Mason Plumlee	27	29	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.09	9	-12	21	14.5	15.6	-1.12	16.1	13.2	2.88
Monte Morris	29	30	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.04	11	-14	25	15.0	15.4	-0.46	16.6	13.0	3.60
Juancho Hernangomez	46	47	0.07	-0.56	0.63	-0.29	12	-15	27	14.2	16.3	-2.09	14.9	13.3	1.57
Paul Millsap	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	9	-21	16.4	14.4	2.05	14.0	14.1	-0.15
Jerami Grant	48	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	15.0	15.6	-0.61	14.9	13.3	1.66
Will Barton	61	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	6	-15	15.6	14.8	0.73	12.8	15.9	-3.18
Nikola Jokic	71	68	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	7	-17	15.6	14.5	1.06	13.2	16.1	-2.88
Jamal Murray	70	67	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.37	-14	11	-25	15.4	15.0	0.46	13.0	16.6	-3.60
Gary Harris	68	64	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.41	-16	13	-29	15.5	14.8	0.71	13.3	15.7	-2.40

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	60	64	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.45	10	-7	17	13.2	15.5	-2.36	15.6	14.7	0.98
Joe Harris	64	66	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-9	21	13.3	15.6	-2.36	15.2	15.5	-0.24
Spencer Dinwiddie	69	72	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-7	17	13.3	15.9	-2.55	15.4	15.0	0.40
Taurean Prince	66	69	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.43	9	-6	15	13.4	15.5	-2.01	15.4	15.0	0.37
Garrett Temple	66	70	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-7	17	14.2	13.8	0.45	15.9	13.8	2.12
Dzanan Musa	27	26	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	5	-7	13.5	14.3	-0.83	14.5	15.6	-1.02
David Nwaba	30	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.00	-6	9	-15	15.6	13.4	2.20	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Theo Pinson	28	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	10	-17	15.9	13.3	2.55	15.0	15.4	-0.40
DeAndre Jordan	37	35	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.05	-9	12	-21	15.5	13.2	2.36	14.7	15.6	-0.98
Iman Shumpert	38	37	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.01	-12	15	-27	15.5	13.2	2.37	14.9	15.5	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.61,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.58,1	91.4%
OKC 96, WAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.27,1	91.0%
POR 86, LAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.58,0.38,0.55,0.67,0.42,1	90.9%