NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	86		Excitement	8.7 [134]		MVP	Gary Payton (LAL): +17.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	89		Comeback	2.3 [673]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -18.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.09	0.00	7	81%	0.21	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.05
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Omar Cook	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	16	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09	0.08	-0.15	0.01	11	68%	-0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	13	52%	-0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.14	-0.00	12	62%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0,0,0.1,-0.01,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	23	56%	0.23	4	-0.16	9	56%	-0.10
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	5	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.16	0.00	13	64%	-0.07	4	-0.11	7	43%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	29.0	16.0	22.2	2.6	35.1	132.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +61.6%

POR -22.8%

LAL +24.3%

POR -10.1%

POR -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	17.3	15.6	15.7	97.7	102.3	100.5
season	17.1	15.4		101.5	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.0	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.7	19.0	16.0	17.7	17.3
LAL	16.0	15.3	15.3	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omar Cook	16	15	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.10	2	-5	7	16.9	17.4	-0.56	16.9	15.3	1.56
Qyntel Woods	7	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-1	-1	25.6	16.6	8.95	13.2	15.8	-2.56
Ruben Patterson	47	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-4	5	17.8	16.8	0.98	16.9	14.3	2.54
Theo Ratliff	35	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-6	9	16.1	18.2	-2.11	15.2	15.8	-0.65
Dan Dickau	0	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-3	3	0.0	17.3	-17.33	0.0	15.8	-15.76
Darius Miles	40	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	0	-3	17.0	17.6	-0.51	14.9	16.2	-1.25
Dale Davis	43	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-3	3	16.9	17.8	-0.92	16.3	14.9	1.39
Zach Randolph	49	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	1	-5	17.3	17.3	0.04	14.6	16.9	-2.24
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	50	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	3	-9	18.4	15.9	2.48	16.0	15.1	0.86
Damon Stoudamire	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	0	-3	17.7	15.2	2.50	15.3	17.5	-2.26
Derek Anderson	77	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.50	-3	0	-3	16.3	24.3	-7.94	15.9	13.8	2.02

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	61	62	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.55	8	-5	13	15.0	16.9	-1.92	16.7	18.9	-2.21
Kobe Bryant	76	78	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-8	19	15.3	17.2	-1.84	16.9	20.5	-3.58
Gary Payton	68	68	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.50	1	2	-1	15.3	16.7	-1.42	17.1	18.0	-0.87
Slava Medvedenko	57	58	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	-10	23	15.1	16.5	-1.41	17.1	17.8	-0.76
Shaquille O'Neal	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	8	-13	15.3	16.9	-1.53	17.3	17.5	-0.17
Horace Grant	44	45	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.30	-2	5	-7	16.6	14.5	2.10	17.7	16.9	0.78
Devean George	22	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	16.8	15.2	1.66	19.4	16.6	2.77
Kareem Rush	8	8	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.02	-7	10	-17	17.0	15.4	1.57	17.2	17.3	-0.09
Derek Fisher	26	26	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.17	-3	6	-9	16.9	15.0	1.92	18.9	16.7	2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.58,0.38,0.55,0.67,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.66,0.39,0.64,0.55,0.58,1	90.8%
NYK 117, IND 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.21,0.57,0.59,1	90.6%
DET 101, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.77,0.59,0.47,0.72,0.75,0.54,0.84,0.72,1	89.9%