NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	9.4 [109]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +22.4%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	1.2 [832]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -26.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	2	133%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.04	0.00	7	68%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	73%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.08	0.00	18	56%	0.07	1	-0.07	9	67%	-0.06
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	10	42%	0.07	2	-0.20	4	75%	-0.03
Antonio McDyess	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	8	33%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26	-0.09	-0.18	-0.01	15	38%	-0.13	3	-0.13	7	86%	0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.13	0.03	16	62%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	6	108%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	8	63%	0.14	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.05
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	17	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	6	52%	0.04	4	-0.11	9	44%	-0.07
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	15	47%	0.08	5	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	30.5	15.0	28.5	2.0	34.7	134.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +60.5%

DET -12.7%

DET -25.1%

UTA +5.8%

UTA +21.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.4	111.0	115.7	104.5
season	16.8	15.9		106.1	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.9	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.5	16.0	16.8	12.8	15.7
UTA	15.2	16.8	15.9	17.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	35	33	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.03	8	-10	18	13.9	16.8	-2.96	16.5	16.2	0.30
Jason Maxiell	20	20	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.04	8	-10	18	14.2	16.1	-1.90	16.0	16.4	-0.36
Ronald Murray	41	41	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.25	13	-15	28	13.1	17.8	-4.66	16.6	16.1	0.48
Lindsey Hunter	7	6	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-4	6	19.0	15.4	3.60	14.7	16.4	-1.78
Nazr Mohammed	35	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	2	-6	17.6	14.5	3.12	16.2	16.4	-0.18
Antonio McDyess	45	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	7	-16	17.1	14.3	2.83	16.0	16.7	-0.69
Rasheed Wallace	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-2	2	14.9	20.5	-5.67	16.4	15.7	0.67
Richard Hamilton	70	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	1	-4	16.1	14.3	1.81	16.1	16.9	-0.81
Tayshaun Prince	64	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	7	-16	16.6	13.5	3.08	16.6	15.6	1.02
Chauncey Billups	60	57	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.36	-16	14	-30	16.0	15.1	0.94	16.4	16.2	0.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	73	76	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-9	20	16.3	16.4	-0.14	16.0	14.3	1.69
Mehmet Okur	67	67	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.45	8	-6	14	16.4	16.0	0.49	16.6	13.1	3.47
Derek Fisher	47	49	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.50	0	2	-2	16.7	16.0	0.71	14.7	16.9	-2.23
Carlos Boozer	67	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	3	-4	16.3	16.5	-0.23	16.4	13.1	3.30
Deron Williams	72	74	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.42	-2	4	-6	16.3	16.6	-0.32	15.3	17.2	-1.84
CJ Miles	22	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	2	-2	17.0	16.1	0.84	17.1	15.2	1.86
Gordan Giricek	29	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-2	6	15.9	16.5	-0.59	17.4	14.9	2.59
Ronnie Brewer	8	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	0	2	14.6	16.5	-1.87	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Paul Millsap	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	2	-2	18.0	16.2	1.75	9.0	16.0	-6.99
Jarron Collins	28	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.06	-1	3	-4	16.2	16.4	-0.21	13.0	16.8	-3.76
Matt Harpring	28	29	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	13	-24	16.1	16.4	-0.27	14.4	16.3	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.77,0.59,0.47,0.72,0.75,0.54,0.84,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.9,1	91.8%
ATL 88, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.58,1	91.8%
PHX 116, NOP 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.58,1	91.4%