NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	117		Excitement	10.5 [38]		MVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): +52.6%
Indiana Pacers	119		Comeback	3.8 [236]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (NYK): -41.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.53	0.09	0.43	-0.00	11	68%	0.55	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.47	0.08	0.40	0.00	20	62%	0.64	4	-0.16	7	86%	0.04
Shawne Williams	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	7	71%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Jared Jeffries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	36%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	17	49%	-0.03	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.04
Chauncey Billups	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.2,-0.42	-0.02	-0.37	0.02	11	54%	-0.05	3	-0.36	4	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.48	0.48	0.10	0.38	-0.00	20	58%	0.56	1	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.29	0.29	0.11	0.22	0.03	13	77%	0.39	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.04	-0.03	17	71%	0.30	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.01,0.05,0.22	0.22	-0.05	0.26	-0.01	13	47%	0.29	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.05
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	30.4	15.7	26.6	2.7	38.3	140.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.8%

NYK -2.8%

IND +23.1%

IND +16.9%

NYK -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	13.5	14.2	15.5	111.4	115.5	105.7
season	14.3	14.7		108.6	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.4	13.1	14.7	12.8	13.5
IND	13.3	14.6	13.5	15.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toney Douglas	60	61	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-10	18	14.2	12.6	1.68	15.0	13.0	1.96
Roger Mason Jr.	18	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-3	4	14.4	13.3	1.12	15.5	13.9	1.69
Ronny Turiaf	17	17	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-3	4	14.1	13.4	0.72	14.2	14.2	0.06
Shawne Williams	79	76	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.44	13	-15	28	13.1	14.7	-1.51	13.4	16.3	-2.86
Henry Walker	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	2	-6	12.7	13.6	-0.90	15.0	14.1	0.87
Jared Jeffries	53	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-5	8	13.5	13.6	-0.09	15.2	13.2	2.05
Landry Fields	68	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.31	2	-4	6	13.5	13.5	-0.04	13.9	14.7	-0.77
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	3	-8	14.0	12.4	1.68	14.2	14.1	0.17
Carmelo Anthony	81	78	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.50	-9	7	-16	13.1	15.0	-1.98	13.8	15.3	-1.50
Chauncey Billups	71	69	-1.04	0.54	-1.57	-0.45	-20	18	-38	13.0	14.5	-1.46	13.7	15.2	-1.52

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	62	63	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.43	18	-16	34	13.4	15.3	-1.88	12.5	15.0	-2.48
Darren Collison	71	74	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.42	17	-15	32	13.6	15.4	-1.77	13.0	14.6	-1.60
Tyler Hansbrough	81	83	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-7	16	13.8	15.5	-1.73	12.9	15.9	-2.97
Danny Granger	78	79	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.53	4	-2	6	13.6	16.0	-2.40	13.2	14.4	-1.16
Roy Hibbert	70	72	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.58	2	0	2	13.7	15.2	-1.56	13.0	14.7	-1.77
Josh McRoberts	24	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	7	-12	15.3	13.8	1.50	15.1	13.0	2.03
Dahntay Jones	25	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.08	-2	4	-6	16.0	13.6	2.40	14.4	13.2	1.16
Jeff Foster	31	31	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.13	-2	4	-6	15.4	13.7	1.72	15.3	12.8	2.47
A.J. Price	32	31	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.02	-15	17	-32	15.4	13.6	1.77	14.6	13.0	1.60
Brandon Rush	41	42	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	0.01	-16	18	-34	15.3	13.4	1.88	15.0	12.5	2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.21,0.57,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, LAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.58,0.38,0.55,0.67,0.42,1	90.6%
IND 110, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.68,0.92,1	90.4%
DEN 93, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.58,1	90.2%