NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	7.8 [265]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +50.5%
Detroit Pistons	114		Comeback	2.5 [591]		LVP	T.J. Ford (IND): -22.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.50	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.22,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.5	0.21	0.30	0.00	21	76%	0.70	6	-0.20	13	100%	0.11
Jeff Foster	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	3	100%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.03
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	12	67%	0.05	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23	-0.06	-0.15	0.01	10	52%	-0.12	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.16	-0.00	20	61%	0.31	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.13,0.13,0.24	0.24	-0.04	0.27	-0.01	7	44%	0.29	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	-0.00	-0.02	8	100%	0.24	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	10	70%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	89%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	83%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Walter Herrmann	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0.04	12	57%	0.07	4	-0.13	6	83%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	12	25%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	3.4	30.2	16.8	26.6	2.7	43.4	145.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +33.3%

IND -7.3%

IND -8.0%

DET +33.1%

IND -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	14.0	15.6	15.5	112.2	117.5	106.4
season	14.1	16.9		106.5	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.3		106.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	12.0	16.1	13.7	14.0
DET	14.5	16.8	15.2	15.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	53	52	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-12	20	14.6	13.3	1.34	16.0	15.0	1.04
Brandon Rush	20	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	0	-4	14.7	13.8	0.96	14.5	15.9	-1.38
Rasho Nesterovic	53	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	2	-8	13.7	14.3	-0.64	16.3	14.7	1.64
Jarrett Jack	54	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-4	4	14.1	13.8	0.35	14.7	16.5	-1.81
Marquis Daniels	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	2	-8	13.6	14.6	-0.95	15.4	15.8	-0.38
T.J. Ford	81	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-2	0	14.1	13.6	0.41	15.6	15.5	0.10
Danny Granger	89	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	1	-6	13.8	15.9	-2.09	15.8	13.5	2.29
Troy Murphy	81	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.46	-5	1	-6	13.9	14.4	-0.51	15.4	16.2	-0.82

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	74	75	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.50	13	-9	22	14.9	17.6	-2.69	14.3	13.0	1.29
Rasheed Wallace	60	61	0.69	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-6	16	14.6	17.0	-2.38	14.9	12.6	2.28
Tayshaun Prince	82	83	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-1	6	15.9	13.5	2.39	13.9	14.5	-0.64
Allen Iverson	82	82	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	-1	6	16.3	11.7	4.52	14.2	12.9	1.33
Antonio McDyess	49	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	6	-8	16.2	14.9	1.39	12.9	15.1	-2.27
Arron Afflalo	20	22	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	5	-6	12.2	16.4	-4.23	12.8	14.3	-1.57
Rodney Stuckey	69	71	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	6	-8	15.7	15.3	0.33	13.5	15.1	-1.60
Walter Herrmann	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	6	-8	11.8	15.8	-3.96	16.4	13.9	2.54
Will Bynum	16	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.08	0	4	-4	15.1	15.6	-0.52	13.9	14.0	-0.14
Jason Maxiell	30	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.00	-5	9	-14	16.9	15.0	1.94	13.5	14.2	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.67,0.95,1	91.8%
DAL 103, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.76,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.47,0.32,0.55,0.77,0.92,1	91.6%
DET 91, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.85,0.95,1	91.4%